Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170
Introduction
00:00 • 3min
The Importance of Water Cooler Conversations
03:17 • 3min
Are People Good Intuitive Statisticians?
06:39 • 4min
The Intuition of the Future Profession
10:10 • 3min
The Importance of Resemblance in a Judgment
13:29 • 3min
Judgment Under Uncertainty, Huristics and Biase
16:47 • 4min
How to Choose the Right Method in Psychology
20:53 • 4min
Amos and I Have a New Approach to Decision Making
25:21 • 3min
The Psychology of Expert Intuition
27:57 • 3min
The Miracles of Expert Intuition
31:04 • 1min
Is Ford Stock Unerpriced?
32:23 • 5min
A Two System Approach to Judgment and Choice
37:25 • 4min
The Distinction Between Two Selves
41:49 • 5min
A Psycho Drama With Two Characters
46:41 • 3min
Detect the Similarity of a Personality to an Occupation Stereotype
49:20 • 4min
Pay Attention in a Social Situation
53:20 • 3min
Blindness and the Invisible Gorilla
56:15 • 4min
System One and System Two
01:00:09 • 3min
How to Overcome the Impulses of System Two
01:03:28 • 4min
The Muller Lyar Illusion
01:07:37 • 2min
Is System Two a Cognitive Illusion?
01:09:47 • 4min
The Language of Systems
01:13:34 • 3min
How to Control Your System Too - Part Two
01:16:48 • 3min
The Pupils of the Eyes
01:20:04 • 3min
How Do You Know When You Give Up?
01:23:25 • 3min
The Invisible Gorilla
01:26:41 • 3min
Attention and the Working Mind
01:29:49 • 4min
The Economy of Action - Laziness
01:33:29 • 2min
Effort Is Required to Maintain Simultaneously in Memory Several Ideas
01:35:27 • 2min
The Ability to Control Attention
01:37:16 • 5min
The Law of Least Effort
01:41:50 • 2min
The Benefits of Walking and Thinking at the Same Time
01:43:55 • 3min
Self Control and Cognitive Effort
01:47:07 • 5min
Self Control Requires Attention and Anxiety
01:51:39 • 3min
The Effects of Ego Depletion
01:54:28 • 4min
How Much Does the Bat Cost?
01:58:58 • 3min
How Close Does System Two Monitor the Suggestions of System One?
02:01:30 • 3min
How Many Murders Are Involved in the State of Michigan in One Year?
02:04:57 • 4min
The Relationship Between Thinking and Self Control
02:09:06 • 2min
Cognitive Control and Intelligence
02:11:35 • 4min
The Difference Between Intelligence and Lazy Thinking
02:15:09 • 3min
The Associative Machine
02:18:39 • 5min
What Is Associative Memory?
02:23:23 • 3min
The Importance of Priming Effects in Psychology
02:26:31 • 3min
The Ideometer Effect
02:29:13 • 3min
How Do We Know When We Are Amused?
02:32:34 • 3min
The Effects of Money Primed People
02:35:32 • 3min
The Importance of the Idea of Money
02:38:52 • 5min
Priming Phenomena
02:43:45 • 6min
Illusions of Memory
02:49:28 • 3min
The Illusion of Familiarity
02:52:42 • 3min
How to Write a Persuasive Message
02:56:09 • 3min
How to Make Your Text More Likely to Be Reviewed
02:59:08 • 3min
Cognitive Ease
03:02:28 • 5min
Cognitive Ease
03:07:01 • 2min
The Cognitive Ease Effect of Repeated Words
03:08:36 • 2min
The Effect of Repetition on Likeness
03:10:44 • 2min
The Relationship Between Creativity and Cognitive Ease
03:12:59 • 4min
Cognitive Ease and Intuition
03:17:09 • 3min
Cognitive Ease and the Intuition of Coherence
03:20:35 • 4min
A Capacity for Surprise
03:24:43 • 6min
The Moses Illusion
03:30:43 • 2min
Seeing Causes and Intentions
03:32:46 • 5min
The Associative Coherence of Events
03:37:28 • 5min
The Importance of Causal Intuitions
03:42:22 • 5min
A Machine for Jumping to Conclusions
03:47:21 • 5min
Using Associative Memory to Confirm Evidence
03:52:38 • 5min
You Like Joan, and You Like Generous People
03:58:00 • 4min
How to Improve Your Grasps
04:01:31 • 3min
The Principle of Independent Judgments and Decorrelated Errors
04:04:21 • 4min
System One Is a Machine for Jumping to Conclusions
04:07:55 • 4min
What You See Is All There Is by Observing the Reaction of People Who Know It
04:12:15 • 2min
What You See Is All There Is
04:14:25 • 6min
Basic Assessments, System One
04:20:10 • 5min
The Effect of Facial Competence on Voting
04:24:42 • 3min
System Two Is Not Needed to Compute the Average of a Set of Lines at a Glance
04:27:46 • 4min
Intensity Matching
04:31:18 • 3min
How to Predict Julie's Reading Achievement
04:34:46 • 4min
The Importance of Intensity Matching
04:38:21 • 3min
Substituting a Question to Find an Easier Question
04:41:10 • 5min
How to Generate Quick Answers to Difficult Questions
04:46:06 • 3min
The Three D Huristic
04:48:52 • 4min
The Psychology of the Size Illusion
04:52:51 • 5min
The Personality of System Two
04:57:58 • 2min
Substitute or Hurst?
04:59:37 • 4min
A Study of the Incidence of Kidney Cancer in the United States
05:04:06 • 2min
The Relationship Between Epidemiology and Statistics
05:06:23 • 3min
The Epidemiology of Large Samples
05:09:44 • 4min
The Importance of a Small Sample Size
05:13:55 • 3min
I Was the Only Fool, or a Member of a Majority of Fools
05:16:29 • 4min
The Law of Small Numbers
05:20:02 • 3min
Random Processes Produce Random Events
05:23:18 • 4min
The Importance of Randomness in Basketball
05:27:42 • 2min
The Illusion of Pattern in Randomness
05:30:03 • 5min
The Law of Small Numbers
05:34:57 • 2min
The Anchoring Effect of a Wheel of Fortune
05:36:33 • 3min
The Anchoring Effect
05:39:39 • 3min
Anchoring as a Priming Effect
05:42:25 • 6min
The Role of Associative Coherence in Anchoring
05:47:59 • 2min
The Anchoring Effect in Real Estate
05:49:53 • 3min
Anchoring Effects in Real Estate Decisions
05:53:00 • 3min
The Power of Random Anchors
05:56:19 • 3min
Anchoring Effects in Negotiation
05:59:01 • 4min
The Effect of Random Anchors on the Associative System
06:02:31 • 6min
The Science of Availability
06:08:05 • 5min
The Importance of Awareness of Your Bias
06:12:50 • 3min
The Psychology of the Availability Heristic
06:16:12 • 3min
How to Reverse a Pattern of Assertiveness
06:19:41 • 4min
The Process That Leads to Judgment by Accessibility
06:23:13 • 3min
Availability Is a System One Huristic
06:26:31 • 5min
Availability Biase in Disasters
06:31:07 • 2min
The Effects of Substitution on the Estimates of Causes of Death
06:33:35 • 3min
The Effects of the Affect Huristic
06:37:01 • 5min
Slovik Defends the Authority of Experts in Risk Policy
06:41:39 • 2min
The Psychology of Judgment and Choice
06:43:26 • 1min
The Available Cascade in Public Policy
06:44:43 • 6min
The Alar Scare of 1989
06:50:39 • 3min
Availability Cascades and Terrorism
06:53:52 • 4min
Tom Ws Specialization - Chapter 14
06:57:49 • 3min
The Similarity Task on the Description of Tom W
07:01:11 • 4min
The Importance of Base Rates in Computer Science
07:05:35 • 5min
The Sins of Representativeness
07:10:57 • 2min
Judging Probability by Representativeness
07:12:59 • 2min
Boosting the Use of Base Rate Information in the Tom W Problem
07:15:02 • 3min
How to Discipline Intuition
07:18:28 • 4min
The Keys to Disciplined Basian Reasoning
07:21:59 • 4min
Amos and I Made Up the Linda Problem
07:25:50 • 6min
The Fallacy of the Logical Rule
07:31:44 • 4min
The Confusion Between Probability and Plausibility
07:36:12 • 3min
Less Is More, Even in Joint Evaluation
07:38:49 • 5min
The Conjugation Fallacy
07:43:35 • 2min
How Many of the 100 Participants Have Had Heart Attacks?
07:45:58 • 3min
The Laziness of System Two
07:49:22 • 3min
The Conjunction Fallacy and the Linda Problem
07:52:36 • 3min
What Is the Probability of a Cab Being Blue?
07:55:53 • 2min
The Base Rate of Blue Cabs in the City
07:57:59 • 5min
Stereotyping Is a Bad Word in Our Culture
08:02:47 • 4min
The Manipulation of Causal Base Rates
08:06:32 • 3min
How Do You Know if You Have a Seizure?
08:09:14 • 4min
The Helping Experiment - How to Change Your Mind
08:13:17 • 3min
The Helping Experiment - What Did Students Learn?
08:16:32 • 3min
Teaching Psychology - How to Surprise Yourself
08:19:49 • 3min
Reward Works Better Than Punishment of Mistakes
08:22:57 • 4min
The Formula for Success in Golf
08:26:31 • 3min
How to Predict a Golfer's Score on Day Two
08:29:50 • 4min
Regression to the Mean
08:33:40 • 6min
The Correlation Between a Factor and a Measure
08:39:16 • 3min
How to Explain a Regression to the Mean
08:42:31 • 4min
Depressed Children Improve More Than Regression Can Explain
08:46:02 • 3min
Regression to the Mean
08:48:51 • 3min
Predicting Intuitive Judgments
08:51:38 • 5min
The Spread of Activation in Associative Memory
08:56:44 • 6min
A Correction for Intense Judgment
09:02:34 • 4min
The Intuitive Prediction Approach
09:06:49 • 3min
A Defence of Extreme Predictions
09:09:55 • 3min
The Importance of Unbiased Predictions in Venture Capitalists
09:13:12 • 3min
The Intuitive Choice
09:16:24 • 5min
The Illusion of Understanding the Trader
09:21:53 • 3min
The Story of Google's Unforgettable Success
09:25:08 • 4min
The Word No Is a Pernicious Illusion
09:29:22 • 3min
Learning From Unpredicted Events
09:32:24 • 3min
Hindsight Bias in Decision Making
09:35:34 • 3min
Hindsight and the Outcome Bias
09:38:45 • 4min
The Effects of Ceos on Performance
09:42:17 • 3min
The Halo Effect and Outcome Bias in Business
09:45:34 • 3min
Building a Visionary Company
09:48:52 • 4min
The Illusion of Validity, Part Hindsight and Part Halo Effect
09:52:28 • 3min
The Impression of Leadership Skills in the Army
09:55:27 • 3min
The Illusion of Validity
09:58:45 • 3min
The Illusion of Stock Picking Skill
10:01:53 • 2min