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THINKING FAST AND SLOW - Commented Book

Jan 18, 2023
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Episode notes
1
Introduction
00:00 • 3min
2
The Importance of Water Cooler Conversations
03:17 • 3min
3
Are People Good Intuitive Statisticians?
06:39 • 4min
4
The Intuition of the Future Profession
10:10 • 3min
5
The Importance of Resemblance in a Judgment
13:29 • 3min
6
Judgment Under Uncertainty, Huristics and Biase
16:47 • 4min
7
How to Choose the Right Method in Psychology
20:53 • 4min
8
Amos and I Have a New Approach to Decision Making
25:21 • 3min
9
The Psychology of Expert Intuition
27:57 • 3min
10
The Miracles of Expert Intuition
31:04 • 1min
11
Is Ford Stock Unerpriced?
32:23 • 5min
12
A Two System Approach to Judgment and Choice
37:25 • 4min
13
The Distinction Between Two Selves
41:49 • 5min
14
A Psycho Drama With Two Characters
46:41 • 3min
15
Detect the Similarity of a Personality to an Occupation Stereotype
49:20 • 4min
16
Pay Attention in a Social Situation
53:20 • 3min
17
Blindness and the Invisible Gorilla
56:15 • 4min
18
System One and System Two
01:00:09 • 3min
19
How to Overcome the Impulses of System Two
01:03:28 • 4min
20
The Muller Lyar Illusion
01:07:37 • 2min
21
Is System Two a Cognitive Illusion?
01:09:47 • 4min
22
The Language of Systems
01:13:34 • 3min
23
How to Control Your System Too - Part Two
01:16:48 • 3min
24
The Pupils of the Eyes
01:20:04 • 3min
25
How Do You Know When You Give Up?
01:23:25 • 3min
26
The Invisible Gorilla
01:26:41 • 3min
27
Attention and the Working Mind
01:29:49 • 4min
28
The Economy of Action - Laziness
01:33:29 • 2min
29
Effort Is Required to Maintain Simultaneously in Memory Several Ideas
01:35:27 • 2min
30
The Ability to Control Attention
01:37:16 • 5min
31
The Law of Least Effort
01:41:50 • 2min
32
The Benefits of Walking and Thinking at the Same Time
01:43:55 • 3min
33
Self Control and Cognitive Effort
01:47:07 • 5min
34
Self Control Requires Attention and Anxiety
01:51:39 • 3min
35
The Effects of Ego Depletion
01:54:28 • 4min
36
How Much Does the Bat Cost?
01:58:58 • 3min
37
How Close Does System Two Monitor the Suggestions of System One?
02:01:30 • 3min
38
How Many Murders Are Involved in the State of Michigan in One Year?
02:04:57 • 4min
39
The Relationship Between Thinking and Self Control
02:09:06 • 2min
40
Cognitive Control and Intelligence
02:11:35 • 4min
41
The Difference Between Intelligence and Lazy Thinking
02:15:09 • 3min
42
The Associative Machine
02:18:39 • 5min
43
What Is Associative Memory?
02:23:23 • 3min
44
The Importance of Priming Effects in Psychology
02:26:31 • 3min
45
The Ideometer Effect
02:29:13 • 3min
46
How Do We Know When We Are Amused?
02:32:34 • 3min
47
The Effects of Money Primed People
02:35:32 • 3min
48
The Importance of the Idea of Money
02:38:52 • 5min
49
Priming Phenomena
02:43:45 • 6min
50
Illusions of Memory
02:49:28 • 3min
51
The Illusion of Familiarity
02:52:42 • 3min
52
How to Write a Persuasive Message
02:56:09 • 3min
53
How to Make Your Text More Likely to Be Reviewed
02:59:08 • 3min
54
Cognitive Ease
03:02:28 • 5min
55
Cognitive Ease
03:07:01 • 2min
56
The Cognitive Ease Effect of Repeated Words
03:08:36 • 2min
57
The Effect of Repetition on Likeness
03:10:44 • 2min
58
The Relationship Between Creativity and Cognitive Ease
03:12:59 • 4min
59
Cognitive Ease and Intuition
03:17:09 • 3min
60
Cognitive Ease and the Intuition of Coherence
03:20:35 • 4min
61
A Capacity for Surprise
03:24:43 • 6min
62
The Moses Illusion
03:30:43 • 2min
63
Seeing Causes and Intentions
03:32:46 • 5min
64
The Associative Coherence of Events
03:37:28 • 5min
65
The Importance of Causal Intuitions
03:42:22 • 5min
66
A Machine for Jumping to Conclusions
03:47:21 • 5min
67
Using Associative Memory to Confirm Evidence
03:52:38 • 5min
68
You Like Joan, and You Like Generous People
03:58:00 • 4min
69
How to Improve Your Grasps
04:01:31 • 3min
70
The Principle of Independent Judgments and Decorrelated Errors
04:04:21 • 4min
71
System One Is a Machine for Jumping to Conclusions
04:07:55 • 4min
72
What You See Is All There Is by Observing the Reaction of People Who Know It
04:12:15 • 2min
73
What You See Is All There Is
04:14:25 • 6min
74
Basic Assessments, System One
04:20:10 • 5min
75
The Effect of Facial Competence on Voting
04:24:42 • 3min
76
System Two Is Not Needed to Compute the Average of a Set of Lines at a Glance
04:27:46 • 4min
77
Intensity Matching
04:31:18 • 3min
78
How to Predict Julie's Reading Achievement
04:34:46 • 4min
79
The Importance of Intensity Matching
04:38:21 • 3min
80
Substituting a Question to Find an Easier Question
04:41:10 • 5min
81
How to Generate Quick Answers to Difficult Questions
04:46:06 • 3min
82
The Three D Huristic
04:48:52 • 4min
83
The Psychology of the Size Illusion
04:52:51 • 5min
84
The Personality of System Two
04:57:58 • 2min
85
Substitute or Hurst?
04:59:37 • 4min
86
A Study of the Incidence of Kidney Cancer in the United States
05:04:06 • 2min
87
The Relationship Between Epidemiology and Statistics
05:06:23 • 3min
88
The Epidemiology of Large Samples
05:09:44 • 4min
89
The Importance of a Small Sample Size
05:13:55 • 3min
90
I Was the Only Fool, or a Member of a Majority of Fools
05:16:29 • 4min
91
The Law of Small Numbers
05:20:02 • 3min
92
Random Processes Produce Random Events
05:23:18 • 4min
93
The Importance of Randomness in Basketball
05:27:42 • 2min
94
The Illusion of Pattern in Randomness
05:30:03 • 5min
95
The Law of Small Numbers
05:34:57 • 2min
96
The Anchoring Effect of a Wheel of Fortune
05:36:33 • 3min
97
The Anchoring Effect
05:39:39 • 3min
98
Anchoring as a Priming Effect
05:42:25 • 6min
99
The Role of Associative Coherence in Anchoring
05:47:59 • 2min
100
The Anchoring Effect in Real Estate
05:49:53 • 3min
101
Anchoring Effects in Real Estate Decisions
05:53:00 • 3min
102
The Power of Random Anchors
05:56:19 • 3min
103
Anchoring Effects in Negotiation
05:59:01 • 4min
104
The Effect of Random Anchors on the Associative System
06:02:31 • 6min
105
The Science of Availability
06:08:05 • 5min
106
The Importance of Awareness of Your Bias
06:12:50 • 3min
107
The Psychology of the Availability Heristic
06:16:12 • 3min
108
How to Reverse a Pattern of Assertiveness
06:19:41 • 4min
109
The Process That Leads to Judgment by Accessibility
06:23:13 • 3min
110
Availability Is a System One Huristic
06:26:31 • 5min
111
Availability Biase in Disasters
06:31:07 • 2min
112
The Effects of Substitution on the Estimates of Causes of Death
06:33:35 • 3min
113
The Effects of the Affect Huristic
06:37:01 • 5min
114
Slovik Defends the Authority of Experts in Risk Policy
06:41:39 • 2min
115
The Psychology of Judgment and Choice
06:43:26 • 1min
116
The Available Cascade in Public Policy
06:44:43 • 6min
117
The Alar Scare of 1989
06:50:39 • 3min
118
Availability Cascades and Terrorism
06:53:52 • 4min
119
Tom Ws Specialization - Chapter 14
06:57:49 • 3min
120
The Similarity Task on the Description of Tom W
07:01:11 • 4min
121
The Importance of Base Rates in Computer Science
07:05:35 • 5min
122
The Sins of Representativeness
07:10:57 • 2min
123
Judging Probability by Representativeness
07:12:59 • 2min
124
Boosting the Use of Base Rate Information in the Tom W Problem
07:15:02 • 3min
125
How to Discipline Intuition
07:18:28 • 4min
126
The Keys to Disciplined Basian Reasoning
07:21:59 • 4min
127
Amos and I Made Up the Linda Problem
07:25:50 • 6min
128
The Fallacy of the Logical Rule
07:31:44 • 4min
129
The Confusion Between Probability and Plausibility
07:36:12 • 3min
130
Less Is More, Even in Joint Evaluation
07:38:49 • 5min
131
The Conjugation Fallacy
07:43:35 • 2min
132
How Many of the 100 Participants Have Had Heart Attacks?
07:45:58 • 3min
133
The Laziness of System Two
07:49:22 • 3min
134
The Conjunction Fallacy and the Linda Problem
07:52:36 • 3min
135
What Is the Probability of a Cab Being Blue?
07:55:53 • 2min
136
The Base Rate of Blue Cabs in the City
07:57:59 • 5min
137
Stereotyping Is a Bad Word in Our Culture
08:02:47 • 4min
138
The Manipulation of Causal Base Rates
08:06:32 • 3min
139
How Do You Know if You Have a Seizure?
08:09:14 • 4min
140
The Helping Experiment - How to Change Your Mind
08:13:17 • 3min
141
The Helping Experiment - What Did Students Learn?
08:16:32 • 3min
142
Teaching Psychology - How to Surprise Yourself
08:19:49 • 3min
143
Reward Works Better Than Punishment of Mistakes
08:22:57 • 4min
144
The Formula for Success in Golf
08:26:31 • 3min
145
How to Predict a Golfer's Score on Day Two
08:29:50 • 4min
146
Regression to the Mean
08:33:40 • 6min
147
The Correlation Between a Factor and a Measure
08:39:16 • 3min
148
How to Explain a Regression to the Mean
08:42:31 • 4min
149
Depressed Children Improve More Than Regression Can Explain
08:46:02 • 3min
150
Regression to the Mean
08:48:51 • 3min
151
Predicting Intuitive Judgments
08:51:38 • 5min
152
The Spread of Activation in Associative Memory
08:56:44 • 6min
153
A Correction for Intense Judgment
09:02:34 • 4min
154
The Intuitive Prediction Approach
09:06:49 • 3min
155
A Defence of Extreme Predictions
09:09:55 • 3min
156
The Importance of Unbiased Predictions in Venture Capitalists
09:13:12 • 3min
157
The Intuitive Choice
09:16:24 • 5min
158
The Illusion of Understanding the Trader
09:21:53 • 3min
159
The Story of Google's Unforgettable Success
09:25:08 • 4min
160
The Word No Is a Pernicious Illusion
09:29:22 • 3min
161
Learning From Unpredicted Events
09:32:24 • 3min
162
Hindsight Bias in Decision Making
09:35:34 • 3min
163
Hindsight and the Outcome Bias
09:38:45 • 4min
164
The Effects of Ceos on Performance
09:42:17 • 3min
165
The Halo Effect and Outcome Bias in Business
09:45:34 • 3min
166
Building a Visionary Company
09:48:52 • 4min
167
The Illusion of Validity, Part Hindsight and Part Halo Effect
09:52:28 • 3min
168
The Impression of Leadership Skills in the Army
09:55:27 • 3min
169
The Illusion of Validity
09:58:45 • 3min
170
The Illusion of Stock Picking Skill
10:01:53 • 2min