THINKING FAST AND SLOW - Commented Book
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Learning From Unpredicted Events
The mind that makes up narratives about the past is a sense making organ. When an unpredicted event occurs, we immediately adjust our view of the world to accommodate the surprise. Many psychologists have studied what happens when people change their minds. The inability to reconstruct past beliefs will inevitably cause you to underestimate the extent to which you were surprised by past events.
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