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THINKING FAST AND SLOW - Commented Book

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A Correction for Intense Judgment

During his military service in the israeli defense forces, i spent some time attached to a unit that selected candidates for officer training on the basis of interviews and field tests. The designated criterion for successful prediction was a cadet's final grade in officer school. These findings provide a compelling example of both substituion and intensity matching. Back to julie, our precocious reader,. The correct way to predict her g p a was introduced in the preceding chapter. Here are the directions for how to get there in four simple steps. One, start with an estimate of average g p a.

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