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THINKING FAST AND SLOW - Commented Book

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How Many of the 100 Participants Have Had Heart Attacks?

Because the die has twice as many green as red faces, the first sequence of five throes is quite unlikely. The second sequence which contains six tosses is a better fit to what we would expect from this die because it includes two gs. However, this sequence was constructed by adding a g to the beginning of the first sequence. So it can only be less likely than the first. This is the non verbal equivalent to linda being a feminist bank teller. As in the linda study, representativeness dominated. Almost two thirds of respondents preferred to bet on sequence two rather than on sequence one. A large majority found the correct argument favoring sequence one more convincing.

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