The Confusion Between Probability and Plausibility

A confusion between probability and plausibility may also be involved. We use the word plausible for a good story that meets the requirements of associative coherence. Plausibility is not a candidate for substitution in these questions. The intuition of representativeness does not make things difficult by blurring the meaning of the probability question, as it does in linda's problem. It is difficult to imagine college undergraduates, let alone stephen j gould, struggling to find the correct answer to these questions.