THINKING FAST AND SLOW - Commented Book
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The Intuitive Choice
A rational person will invest a large sum in an enterprise that is most likely to fail without deluding herself about the chances of success. But we are not all rational, and some of us may need the security of distorted estimates to avoid paralysis. If you choose to delude yourself by accepting extreme predictions, however, you will do well to remain aware of your self indulgence.
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