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THINKING FAST AND SLOW - Commented Book

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Regression to the Mean

An athlete who gets to be on the cover of sports illustrated must have performed exceptionally well in the preceding season, probably with the assistance of a nudge from luck. Regression effects can be found wherever we look, but we do not recognize them for what they are. They hide in plain sight. It took one of the best minds of nineteenth century britain to make sense of it,. and that with great difficulty.

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