Hear This Idea

#58 – Carl Robichaud on Reducing the Risks of Nuclear War

Feb 16, 2023

03:41:33

Episode guests

Carl Robichaud

Highlights

AI Chapters

Episode notes

Risks From Nuclear Weapons in the Next Few Decades

03:59

Cyber Espionage and Intelligence

03:21

Is the CTBTO Detecting Covert Tests?

01:54

Introduction

3min

The Risk of Nuclear War in 2022

3min

Russia's Coercive Threat

2min

Is There a Difference Between Nuclear Risk and Climate Change?

2min

Putin Miscalculated the Level of Resoluteness

2min

Russia's Use of Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine?

5min

Risks From Nuclear Weapons in the Next Few Decades

4min

The Status Quo Is Not Stable

2min

The Status Quo in Non-Proliferation?

5min

10.

Is the IAEA a Good Agency?

3min

11.

Is the IAEA a State-Level Concept?

2min

12.

Is the CTBTO Detecting Covert Tests?

2min

13.

Is There an Arms Race?

2min

14.

Is There a New Arms Race?

3min

15.

Is Russia Fearing US Missile Defenses?

6min

16.

Do You Know What Project Retro Is?

2min

17.

Is There a Future for Missile Defense?

4min

18.

Is China Increasing Its Nuclear Arsenal?

2min

19.

Is It Easier to Find Things?

2min

20.

Is Stuxnet a Separate Thing?

3min

21.

Is Stuxnet the Most Sordid Piece of Software Ever Written?

2min

22.

Cyber Espionage and Intelligence

3min

23.

Air Gap Systems Are Not Connected to the Internet, Right?

5min

24.

The Cuban Missile Crisis

4min

25.

What We Learned From the Soviet Archives During the Cold War

2min

26.

Did You Know About the Submarine?

2min

27.

Are There Any Near Missed Stories?

2min

28.

The Human Missile Crisis - Is There a Risk?

2min

29.

What's the Nature of Nuclear Briarsmanship?

3min

30.

Lessons From the Cuban Missile Crisis

2min

31.

Is There a Risk of Systems Failure?

2min

32.

Nuclear War

2min

33.

Nuclear Risk in Peacetime Is Different From Nuclear Risk During War

4min

34.

Avoid Nuclear War - Avoid Points of Failure

3min

35.

Nuclear Weapons Development in a Different Time?

2min

36.

The Moment of Contingency in the History of the Nuclear Age

4min

37.

How Easy Is It to Develop Nuclear Weapons?

4min

38.

Is There a Future for Nuclear Weapons?

2min

39.

Artificial Intelligence Is One Possible Future

2min

40.

The Key Bottlenecks for Nuclear Weapons Technology

3min

41.

The Development of the Hydrogen Bomb

3min

42.

Reagan and Gorbachev Meeting in Reykjavik

3min

43.

Are You Saying This? And You Can Read His Diary, Right?

2min

44.

Nuclear Weapons

3min

45.

The New Yorker - Part Three

5min

46.

What's the Point of the Arms Race?

2min

47.

What Are Tactical Nukes?

3min

48.

How Many Tons of TNT Equivalent Means?

2min

49.

The TPNW

3min

50.

Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty

2min

51.

Is This Treaty Worth It?

2min

52.

What's the Future of Nuclear Weapons?

4min

53.

What Can Philanthropy Do With Nuclear Weapons?

3min

54.

The Role of Citizens and Citizen Activists and Journalists

2min

55.

What Scientists Can Do Outside of Government?

3min

56.

The Non-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction Program

2min

57.

What Did the Soviets Do After the Non-Lugar Plan Was Implemented?

2min

58.

What's the Funding Picture for Nuclear Philanthropy?

2min

59.

The MacArthur Foundation Withdrew Their Funding for Nuclear Challenges

3min

60.

Philanthropic Impact - Is That the Story?

2min

61.

Philanthropy and the World's Better With You Doing It

3min

62.

The Future of Philanthropy

3min

63.

We Can't Take Our Eye Off This Nuclear Threat

2min

64.

How Can Philanthropy Help Reduce Nuclear Risk?

4min

65.

Is There a Risk in the Weapon System?

2min

66.

Is Space-Based Missile Defense a Threat?

2min

67.

ICBMs Doesn't Cover Missile Defense System?

2min

68.

Early Warning Systems in Russia and China

3min

69.

Is There a Nuclear Warfare Warning System?

2min

70.

The Story of the Neural Network Detecting Tanks

3min

71.

Are There Any Other Ideas or Plans for Nuclear Philanthropy?

2min

72.

Is There a Model of Type 2 Diplomacy?

2min

73.

How to Reduce the Risk of Nuclear War This Decade

2min

74.

Shifting Attitudes on Nuclear Weapons

2min

75.

The Challenge of AI Pandemics?

4min

76.

The Challenge With AI

2min

77.

What Drew You to This Work?

4min

78.

The Press of Piss by Jonathan Schell

4min

79.

Are We Doomed?

3min

80.

How Will Artificial Intelligence Be Integrated Into Nuclear Weapon Systems?

4min

81.

World Schooling

2min

82.

The Color Rubber Show - I Love It!

2min

A full writeup of this episode, including references and a transcript, is available on our website: https://hearthisidea.com/episodes/robichaud.

Carl Robichaud co-leads Longview Philanthropy’s programme on nuclear weapons.

We discuss:

Lessons from the Ukraine crisis
China's future as a nuclear power
Nuclear near-misses
The Reykjavik Summit, Acheson–Lilienthal Report and Baruch Plan
Lessons from nuclear risk for other emerging technological risks
What's happened to philanthropy aimed at reducing risks from nuclear weapons, and what philanthropy can support today

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