

#25 – Julia Shvets on Overconfidence, Rank Incentives, and Lab vs Field Experiments
Mar 8, 2021
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
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Introduction
00:00 • 2min
What Is Over Confidence?
01:52 • 2min
Are You Over Confident About Your Island?
04:18 • 2min
Is Over Confidence the Best Documented Human Bias?
06:15 • 2min
Is There a Real Problem With Over Confidence?
08:02 • 2min
The Indirect Evidence of Huntington Disease
09:35 • 2min
Are You Overconfident About Your Health?
11:25 • 2min
Is Over Confidence a Cognitive Mistake?
12:57 • 2min
The Theory of Motivated Beliefs
14:45 • 2min
The Theory of Motivator Beliefs
16:19 • 2min
Is There a Supply of Over Confidence?
17:59 • 3min
Is Over Confidence Really Found?
20:32 • 1min
How Managers Get Paid a Quarterly Bonus
21:55 • 2min
Over Confidence in the Field?
23:34 • 2min
The Theory of Baising Up Dating - Is There Any Overconfidence?
25:10 • 2min
The Roll of Memory
26:48 • 2min
What Did You Find?
28:21 • 2min
Are You Using Motivated Beliefs?
30:05 • 2min
Are There Any Incentives to Stop People From Being Over Confident?
31:38 • 2min
Is This a Pessimistic Finding?
33:38 • 2min
How Does Overconfidence Affect Performance and Decisions?
35:25 • 2min
Over Confident Managers Do Worse on Service
36:58 • 2min
Are There Any Differences in Over Confidence?
38:41 • 2min
How Do Financial Incentive Schemes Affect People's Performance?
40:12 • 2min
Do People Care About Ranking Because There's Money Involved?
42:08 • 2min
How to Disentangle the Financial Effects From the Ranking Effects
43:45 • 1min
Financial Incentives at Week 11 Oscillate With Rank
45:15 • 2min
How to Improve a Manager's Performance in a Shop?
47:12 • 2min
Is There Any Financial Incentives?
48:45 • 2min
Why Do People Care About Their Rank?
50:15 • 2min
Is Over Confidence a Good Measure of Performance?
52:17 • 2min
The Over Confidence Paper and the Overconfidence Paper
54:01 • 1min
Lab Experiments
55:20 • 2min
The Importance of Lab Experiments in the Real World
57:01 • 2min
Why Lab Experiments Are So Important
58:34 • 2min
Is There a Conflict Between Field and Lab Data in Behavioral Economics?
01:00:05 • 1min
How to Measure People's Generosity in the Real World
01:01:33 • 2min
Is There a Worry About Replication?
01:03:09 • 3min
Are the Key Hypotheses Satisfied in Your Setting?
01:05:53 • 2min
The Range Is Insane
01:07:30 • 2min
Randomised Trials
01:09:05 • 2min
Why Do We Compare Ourself Against Others?
01:10:45 • 2min
How to Change Your Mind
01:12:16 • 2min
Are You Going to Ask Me This Question?
01:14:11 • 2min
Is There a Need for Incentives in the Workplace?
01:15:56 • 2min
Dostoyevsky's Crime and Punishment by Julia Schwaetz
01:17:27 • 2min