
#25 – Julia Shvets on Overconfidence, Rank Incentives, and Lab vs Field Experiments
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Is There a Supply of Over Confidence?
How is it possible that our mind allows us to be over confident? What's the mechanism by which we don't actually learn our true chances of succeeding in the chest tournament, and keep telling ourselves that our chances are bigger than they actually are? A you ask me about memory. So the theory that benebunterol put forward is that memory is the mechanism that allows the supply over confidence. They suggest people still posess information in the basian way, but they use their memory to substitute some of the signal, some of the pieces of information they don't like, with something more palatablean how an over confidence belief is formed.
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