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#64 – Michael Aird on Strategies for Reducing AI Existential Risk

8 snips
Jun 7, 2023
Guest
Michael Aird
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Episode notes
1
Introduction
00:00 • 5min
2
The Case for Focusing on AI Risk
04:47 • 4min
3
The Future of AI
09:17 • 3min
4
The Role of Governments in Building AI Systems
12:18 • 4min
5
The Probability of a Big Deal Happening in 2040
16:01 • 6min
6
The Case for Worrying About AI Experts
21:39 • 3min
7
The Easiest Path to Transformative AI
24:51 • 5min
8
The J-R-Rit and the Default Purchase
29:30 • 4min
9
The Role of Externality in Existential Risk
33:09 • 2min
10
The Importance of Internalization
35:33 • 2min
11
The Risks of Artificial Intelligence
37:11 • 5min
12
The Future of AI Governance
42:28 • 3min
13
The Risk of Doom Isn't Zero
45:07 • 5min
14
The Importance of Staying Away From AI Risk
49:56 • 5min
15
The Importance of Reflection
54:52 • 4min
16
The Unilateral Curse
58:55 • 3min
17
The Importance of Reflecting on Things
01:02:18 • 4min
18
The Importance of Taking Action
01:06:02 • 1min
19
The Top 7 Risks of Locking in Bad Policies
01:07:13 • 5min
20
The Importance of Polarization in AI
01:12:04 • 6min
21
The Importance of Optionality in Research
01:17:52 • 4min
22
How to Maximize the Responsibility of the Actors With Capabilities
01:22:10 • 2min
23
The Status of the Capital P Plan for Getting Here
01:24:37 • 2min
24
The High Level Concrete Theory of Victory for AI Governance
01:26:35 • 5min
25
The Importance of a Pivotal Act
01:31:54 • 3min
26
The Importance of Defense in Depth
01:35:08 • 4min
27
AI Governance: A Comparison of Theories of Victory
01:38:52 • 3min
28
How to Monitor AI Development and Construct How It's Used
01:41:27 • 5min
29
The Importance of Aggregating Credences on Theories of Victory
01:46:20 • 4min
30
The Importance of Intermediate Goals
01:50:38 • 4min
31
The Theory of Victory Framing and the Threat Model Lens
01:54:49 • 2min
32
The Importance of Reasoning Transparency
01:56:52 • 2min
33
How to Make Progress on AI Risk Reduction
01:59:15 • 5min
34
The Top 5 Theories of Victory
02:03:53 • 2min
35
The Consequences of Open Philanthropy
02:05:27 • 3min
36
The Importance of Industry Self-Regulation
02:08:33 • 5min
37
The Disadvantages of Intermediate Goals
02:13:26 • 5min
38
The Future of Open AI
02:18:22 • 3min
39
How to Make Good Decisions About Risks From AI
02:21:03 • 5min
40
How Much Would Further Research on Thinking Change Your Mind?
02:26:16 • 3min
41
How to Improve AiSafety
02:29:41 • 3min
42
The Importance of Personal Fit in Comparative Advantage
02:32:46 • 2min
43
The Importance of Personal Fit in Cyber Security Research
02:34:28 • 2min
44
The Importance of Capital and Labor in Open Philanthropy
02:36:17 • 4min
45
The Impact of the Survey on Compute and Advocacy
02:40:38 • 2min
46
The Future of Advocacy
02:42:25 • 3min
47
How to Reduce Excentric Risk From AI
02:45:42 • 4min
48
The Importance of Interpretability in AI Takeover
02:50:00 • 3min
49
AI X-Ris and the Cave
02:53:28 • 5min
50
How to Switch Completely Between Fields
02:58:15 • 4min
51
How to Choose the Right Internship Program for AI X-Risk
03:02:15 • 3min
52
How to Be a Successful AI Governance Researcher
03:05:05 • 2min
53
How to Set Up a Course for AI Governance
03:07:10 • 6min