#64 – Michael Aird on Strategies for Reducing AI Existential Risk
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The Case for Worrying About AI Experts
Short timelines are also a bunch more worrying than longer timelines. Even if you only put a smaller probability, let's say that something like AGI happens in the next 20 years, those 20 years are also an exact time horizon. So I do something kind of like acting as if there's a 50% chance by 2030, because my career matters more in quote unquote shorter timeline worlds. There's fewer people who can help with them because there's less time. And also they're probably riskier because just in general society getting ready for this will happen less,. not just like the number of focused people working on it.
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