#64 – Michael Aird on Strategies for Reducing AI Existential Risk
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The Importance of Aggregating Credences on Theories of Victory
Iris: I'm really curious about how our previous conversation about agency fits on top of this because I can also imagine that this isn't just static that we have some kind of fixed credences applied to each theory of victory but that these change over time. And from that as well, not just in the object level, what policy or what things should I be pushing for on but also in terms of you know where is the value of information to be gained from doing research here which kinds of disagreements between different theories of victory should I be focusing on? The way I would define it is something like a period of unusually high urgency um strategic clarity and extent to which the world's already paying attention
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