#64 – Michael Aird on Strategies for Reducing AI Existential Risk
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The Probability of a Big Deal Happening in 2040
Claim four: I think it's plausible that this really big deal thing happens in the next 10 years or so. Claim five: If true, there's a significantly higher chance that everyone dies than if you get into a car crash and the chance is enough to wear a seatbelt. And claim six: There has been a lot of research on transformative AI timelines which seems to have decent validity.
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