Jason Crawford on Progress and Risks from AI

1

Introduction

00:00 • 2min

2

The Mainstream View of Economic Growth

01:57 • 3min

3

The Importance of Population Size in Economic Growth

04:59 • 2min

4

The Flywheel Metaphor

06:48 • 5min

5

The Flywheel Metaphor

11:57 • 6min

6

The Roots of Progress

17:57 • 2min

7

The History of Progress and Risk

19:40 • 4min

8

The Relationship Between Risk and Progress

23:36 • 4min

9

The Impact of the Pace of Development on the Safety of Technology

28:04 • 5min

10

The Importance of Safety in Progress

32:54 • 2min

11

The Over-Cautiousness of the FDA

35:10 • 3min

12

Defense in Depth

38:17 • 2min

13

The Importance of Predicting Risk

40:27 • 5min

14

The Importance of Safety in Progress

45:21 • 5min

15

The Dangers of Technology

49:53 • 3min

16

The Four Perspectives on AI Risk

52:29 • 4min

17

The Argument for Why AI Might Become an Analogue to a Separate Advanced Spell

56:58 • 2min

18

The Disagreement About AI Risk

58:49 • 2min

19

Solutionism on AI Safety

01:00:47 • 3min

20

How to Solve the AI Alignment Problem

01:04:08 • 2min

21

The Future of AI Safety

01:06:38 • 3min

22

AI Risk: A Normal Problem?

01:10:07 • 3min

23

AI: The Ultimate General Purpose Technology

01:12:43 • 2min

24

The Future of Economic Growth

01:14:52 • 2min

25

The Limits of Physics

01:16:35 • 2min

26

The Future of Growth Rates

01:18:19 • 2min

27

The Failure of the Model When We Get Infinities

01:20:13 • 2min

28

The Current Normal Goes On

01:22:14 • 4min