Chapters 
 Transcript 
 Episode notes 
 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  40  41  42  43  44  45  46  47  48  49  50  51  52  53  54  55  56  57 
 Introduction 
 00:00 • 2min 
 The Negative Feedback Loop in the Market 
 02:29 • 4min 
 How to Bet on Stocks That Are Moving in the Opposite Direction 
 06:27 • 2min 
 The Negative Selection Question for Investing in Private Companies 
 08:00 • 3min 
 The Relationship Between Ideology and Worldview in Open AI Funding 
 11:28 • 3min 
 The Struggle to Get Your Product Legal 
 14:11 • 5min 
 The Trade-Off Between Aggressive and Passive Approaches to Regulation 
 18:41 • 2min 
 The Benefits of Systematic Rule Vending 
 21:08 • 4min 
 The Internal Organizational Fights 
 25:05 • 6min 
 Coinbase's Mission Focused Company 
 30:57 • 3min 
 Sam Altman's Vision of Open AI 
 33:33 • 3min 
 Microsoft's Thought Process for Investing in Open AI 
 36:20 • 4min 
 Microsoft's $1 Billion Investment in Open AI 
 39:54 • 2min 
 The Importance of Documented Understanding of the Finicky Features of Machine Learning Models 
 41:42 • 5min 
 The Importance of Intuition in Intelligence 
 46:30 • 4min 
 The Importance of Basic Data in AI 
 50:32 • 5min 
 The Importance of a Simple Setup in a Complex Problem 
 55:04 • 4min 
 The Future of Automation 
 59:22 • 5min 
 Sam Altman's Crypto Project World Coin Releases First Consumer Product 
 01:04:11 • 6min 
 The Economic Power of Open AI 
 01:09:45 • 2min 
 The Duality of Industrialization and the Social Problems 
 01:12:02 • 5min 
 The Importance of Charisma in Democracy 
 01:16:37 • 4min 
 Machine Learning Funding: The Pros and Cons 
 01:20:56 • 4min 
 The Benefits of Using Apps to Target Customers 
 01:25:05 • 3min 
 The Most Public Choice Theory 
 01:27:46 • 2min 
 The Importance of First Party Data in Privacy 
 01:29:18 • 3min 
 Machine Learning Startup Funding: Is It a Recession? 
 01:32:39 • 4min 
 The Convenience of Planning for Open AI Discussion 
 01:36:50 • 4min 
 The Effect of Market Timing on Bubbles 
 01:40:39 • 5min 
 The Most Underrated Article of the 20th Century 
 01:45:33 • 2min 
 The Bubbles and Gnosticism 
 01:47:29 • 3min 
 The Role of Professionals in Social Media 
 01:50:21 • 4min 
 The Value of Being Specialized 
 01:54:43 • 4min 
 The Importance of Link Roundups 
 01:58:53 • 3min 
 The Difference Between Substack and Legacy Media Link Posts 
 02:01:52 • 2min 
 The Power of Sub-Stacks 
 02:04:05 • 2min 
 The Bias of Right Wing Media 
 02:06:04 • 4min 
 The Unfairness of Libertarianism 
 02:10:15 • 3min 
 The Politics of Polarization 
 02:13:27 • 6min 
 The Counterintuitive Public Choice Theory 
 02:19:07 • 2min 
 The Importance of Gridlock 
 02:21:04 • 3min 
 The Effects of State Capacity on COVID 
 02:24:30 • 5min 
 The History of State Incompetence and Polarization 
 02:29:39 • 3min 
 The Politics of State Capacity 
 02:32:30 • 2min 
 The Rise of State Capacity 
 02:34:09 • 5min 
 The Importance of Polarization in Public Choice Theory 
 02:38:57 • 4min 
 The Politics of Trade Panics 
 02:42:59 • 4min 
 The Different Mix of Absolute and Relative Knowledge in Trading 
 02:46:48 • 4min 
 The Importance of Timing in Trading 
 02:50:39 • 4min 
 The Importance of Intuition Over Rationality 
 02:54:47 • 2min 
 The Trade-Off Between Intuition and Rigorousness 
 02:57:01 • 5min 
 The Importance of Intuition in Analysis 
 03:01:39 • 2min 
 The Importance of Intuition in Decision Making 
 03:03:23 • 4min 
 The Importance of Intuition 
 03:07:28 • 3min 
 The Power of Intuition 
 03:10:41 • 2min 
 The Importance of Chaos in the School System 
 03:12:43 • 3min 
 The Importance of Documentation in the Economy 
 03:16:07 • 3min 



