The Bayesian Conspiracy

177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman

Dec 14, 2022
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Episode notes
1
Introduction
00:00 • 3min
2
The Guild of the Rose - When Would You Want This?
03:26 • 2min
3
When to Use Martial Arts?
05:35 • 2min
4
How to Build a Decision Tree
07:52 • 5min
5
The Probability of Utility Evaluations for Money
12:26 • 3min
6
Using the Decision Tree to Make a Decision
15:36 • 2min
7
How Long Did It Take You to Make This Decision Tree?
17:10 • 2min
8
Do You Think It's Net Good or Net Bad for Society?
18:52 • 2min
9
What's the Worst Advice?
20:42 • 2min
10
Is Your Subconscious Making All These Calculations?
22:59 • 2min
11
You Know, You've Been the Possible Outcome
25:14 • 3min
12
Are You Going to Have Kids?
28:38 • 2min
13
Do Your Best to Make Better Decisions, Right?
30:58 • 2min
14
Compounding Returns on Hard Decisions
32:48 • 2min
15
How Do You Do the Number Format Real Quick?
35:09 • 3min
16
Are You Making a Decision Tree?
37:46 • 3min
17
Do You Think Everyone Should Share a Decision Tree?
40:52 • 4min
18
Having a Gut Level Sense of Odds
45:09 • 2min
19
Do You Think an Ant Is Bigger Than 256,000?
47:11 • 2min
20
Do Decision Trees Increase or Reduce Variance in Life Outcomes?
48:59 • 2min
21
Don't Take Big Risks, You're Taking a Risk.
50:30 • 4min
22
The Number One Driver of Property Prices in America
54:58 • 5min
23
The Art of Building a Decision Tree
01:00:08 • 6min
24
You Keep Using Utility, but It's in Such a Different Way Than I'm Used to Hearing It
01:06:04 • 4min
25
Giving to Affect the Charities?
01:09:38 • 3min
26
You Don't Let Them Go First, but You Still Are Orderly
01:12:12 • 3min
27
Is It Bad to Kill One Person for a Million Dollars to Save a Thousand People?
01:14:45 • 2min
28
The Decision Tree Is Not a Decision Tree
01:16:22 • 3min
29
Is It a Trolley Problem?
01:19:44 • 2min
30
The Trolley Problem?
01:21:30 • 2min
31
Is San Bankman Freed an Idiot?
01:23:24 • 2min
32
Is It a Quantum 51% Probability, Not Deterministic?
01:25:50 • 3min
33
Are You a Bad Person and You Should Feel Bad?
01:28:36 • 2min
34
The Guild of the Rose
01:30:56 • 4min
35
Is It a Commitment?
01:34:49 • 3min
36
The Guild of the Rose
01:37:28 • 2min
37
Chat GPT Three - What Did I Miss?
01:39:01 • 2min
38
Is GPT-3 Free?
01:41:14 • 2min
39
How to Make an HTTP HTTP Request in JavaScript
01:43:08 • 3min
40
How to Get GPT to Stop Liesing to You
01:46:05 • 3min
41
Is It a Force Multiplyer for Sex Work?
01:49:26 • 3min
42
The Basing Conspiracy Podcast
01:52:09 • 2min
43
Is Cicero Modeling Human Minds?
01:54:01 • 2min
44
Cicero 3.0
01:55:53 • 2min
45
AI Just Happened Faster Than We Thought
01:57:40 • 2min
46
Is AGI Artificial General Intelligence?
01:59:57 • 2min
47
Dolly Art
02:01:51 • 3min
48
The Top Posts of All Time
02:05:12 • 3min
49
Do You Think We Should Have a Butlerian Jihad?
02:08:24 • 2min
50
We're at 10 Billion, Aren't We?
02:10:02 • 2min
51
How Cool Will AI Alignment Be?
02:12:31 • 2min
52
Is There a Counterfactual?
02:14:56 • 3min
53
What Is Net Worth?
02:17:50 • 1min
54
The Early Singularity
02:19:19 • 3min
55
Buying a House Is Not Worth a Hit
02:21:53 • 3min
56
Is There More Fun Way?
02:24:29 • 2min
57
Sense Data Isn't Going to Replace Humans
02:26:44 • 2min
58
AI Superpowers - What Are They?
02:28:15 • 2min
59
Is There a Midwestern Face?
02:29:51 • 3min