2min chapter

The Bayesian Conspiracy cover image

177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman

The Bayesian Conspiracy

CHAPTER

Having a Gut Level Sense of Odds

I think everybody should play a lot of dice using games in their life, especially when they're younger and those things are more fun. You can just start to get an intuitive sense, preferably even ones that use more than just six-sided dice. Because yeah, rolling a natural 20, that feels hard and that's a 5% chance. Apparently my gut doesn't know what 5% feels like versus 20%. That's something you can actually work on and get better at.

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