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The Bayesian Conspiracy

Latest episodes

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Jan 22, 2025 • 1h 21min

230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich

Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning Monogamy A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory Eneasz on finding partners that like the opposite sex Dear Grom and Other Stories 00:00:05 – Dating 01:04:56 – Guild of the Rose 01:08:22 – Less Wrong Posts 01:19:35 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Zombies: The Movie Three Dialogues on Identity Next Sequence Posts: none
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Jan 21, 2025 • 4min

Bayes Blast 38 – Shitcoins

Dive into the wild world of shitcoins and their connection to a political figure. Discover the thrilling and risky nature of investing in these volatile assets through personal stories. Reflect on the GameStop short squeeze and the insights from the film 'Dumb Money'. The conversation highlights the dangers of speculative investments and promotes a cautious approach to the crypto market.
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Jan 13, 2025 • 7min

Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat

Dive into the ethical maze of sacrificing a pet to save a friend’s life. The discussion illuminates troubling moral dilemmas around trust and desperate pacts. Explore the implications of promises made in dire circumstances, and how they reflect on friendships. Plus, a lively Q&A that challenges listeners' perspectives on this heavy topic. It’s a conversation that mixes dark humor with deep philosophical inquiry, leaving you to ponder what you would do in a similar situation.
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Jan 8, 2025 • 1h 27min

229 – Integrating Emotions

Eric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – eric@ericlanigan.com LINKS EnjoyExisting.org Ugh Fields You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog LessWrong/Lighthaven Donatations – you have until Jan 13! 00:00:05 – Integrating Emotions 01:02:30 – Guild of the Rose 01:05:31 – Less Wrong Posts 01:24:38 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: No Individual Particles Identity Isn’t In Specific Atoms Next Sequence Posts: Zombies: The Movie Three Dialogues on Identity
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Dec 28, 2024 • 1min

LW Census 2024

If you haven’t yet, go fill out the 2024 LW Census. Right here.
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Dec 24, 2024 • 2h 6min

228 – The Deep Lore of LightHaven, with Oliver Habryka

Oliver Habryka, a key figure in the rationalist community, discusses the intriguing evolution of LightHaven from the LessWrong platform. He explores the impact of the FTX collapse on funding and community dynamics. Habryka shares insights on innovative conference structures and the ethical implications of organizations like Leverage Research. The conversation touches on the importance of community engagement, donor recognition, and plans for nurturing intellectual exchange at LightHaven. Join the journey through rationality, empathy, and the future of effective altruism!
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Dec 11, 2024 • 1h 46min

227 – Longevity, Aimed Communities, Network States, with Zoe Isabel Senon

We talk to Zoe Isabel Senon about longevity, recent advances, longevity popup cities & group houses, and more (not necessarily in that order). Spoiler: Eneasz is gonna die. Also we learn about Network States! LINKS Vitalist Bay Aevitas House – remember that for these Zoe it helps if you mention you listen to The Bayesian Conspiracy as examples of alignment Vitalia City Lighthaven Fundraiser (direct donation link here) Scott Alexander’s response to Illusion of Moral Decline US crime rates over the last 50 years 00:00:05 – Zoe, Longevity, Community 01:03:49 – Is Eneasz gonna die? 01:12:19 – What the heck is a network state? 01:31:01 – Lighthaven fundraiser 01:33:17 – Guild of the Rose 01:34:20 – Feedback 01:44:50 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Sequence Posts: No Individual Particles Identity Isn’t In Specific Atoms
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Nov 29, 2024 • 1h 39min

226 – The Illusion of Moral Decline

Delve into the intriguing concept of moral decline and its perception versus reality. The hosts analyze surveys revealing how societal views on morality have remained surprisingly stable over time, despite crime rate fluctuations. They explore the role of nostalgia and media in shaping these beliefs and discuss how personal experiences can distort our understanding. Amid discussions of community heroism and the importance of support groups, listeners are encouraged to embrace a more optimistic view of societal progress.
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Nov 14, 2024 • 2h 39min

225 – Live at Lighthaven!

Enjoy the public conversations we had the pleasure of having at our live show at Lighthaven in Berkeley. Special thanks to Andrew, Matt, J, Ben and Garrett! Due to the nature of this recording, it’s naturally a bit less refined than our usual format. No timestamps or links for this one – just kick back and enjoy. Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts: Classical Configuration Spaces The Quantum Arena Feynman Paths
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4 snips
Nov 10, 2024 • 54min

Bonus? The 10-Finger Demon

A hypothetical about a finger-collecting demon sparks a lively debate on the value of personal expression versus the lure of wealth. Participants grapple with the profound implications of sacrificing body parts for a staggering $10 trillion. The conversation meanders through reflections on despair, altruism, and community versus individual needs. Amidst discussions of educational reform and societal optimism, they emphasize maintaining humanity while navigating life’s ethical dilemmas. Ultimately, they explore the delicate balance between personal autonomy and broader humanitarian values.

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