
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
Latest episodes

Apr 16, 2025 • 2h 24min
235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen
Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that.
LINKS
Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different
Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight
Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things
Clearer Thinking’s Gender Continuum Test
The Mind Killer – biweekly news podcast via rationalists
Ghibli Eve Theory of Consciousness
00:00:05 – Gender Differences
02:20:31 – Guild of the Rose
02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
on hiatus, returning this summer

Apr 2, 2025 • 1h 53min
234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice
We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit.
LINKS
Give Directly
GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet
00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice
01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism
01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose
01:51:36 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
None
Next Sequence Posts:
None

Mar 19, 2025 • 1h 31min
233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten
Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take.
LINKS
Narrow Path
Center for AI Policy
Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack
Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email Jason at jason@aipolicy.us
TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy
Kickstarter link for Thomas Eliot’s new game: The Singularity Will Happen In Less Than A Year
00:00:05 – AI Policy in D.C.
01:20:07 – Fundraising for CAIP and The Singularity Will Happen in Less Than a Year
01:24:28 – Guild of the Rose
01:29:16 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
None
Next Sequence Posts:
None

Mar 8, 2025 • 5min
Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan
The podcast highlights an initiative by the White House urging public feedback on AI safety. It discusses the vital role of citizen participation in shaping AI governance. Listeners are encouraged to voice their opinions, stressing that individual contributions can significantly influence policy more than traditional voting methods. Engaging in these discussions is portrayed as crucial for ensuring AI developments align with the public interest.

Mar 5, 2025 • 1h 31min
232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett
John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change.
LINKS
The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change
John Bennett’s LinkedIn
Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface
Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog
“Every Bay Area Walled Compound”
Trace on the FAA hiring scandal
What We Owe the Future (Will MacAskill)
Center for AI Policy
TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy
Horizon Institute for Public Service Fellowships
Dear Grom and Other Stories
Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!
00:00:05 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change
01:03:20 – HPMOR 10 year anniversary reminder
01:06:10 – Guild of the Rose
01:09:14 – Less Wrong Posts
01:29:04 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
Decoherence
The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
Next Sequence Posts:
none

Feb 21, 2025 • 12min
Bayes Blast 40 – HPMOR 10 Year Anniversary Parties
Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!

12 snips
Feb 19, 2025 • 1h 49min
231 – SuperBabies, with Gene Smith
Gene Smith on polygenic screening; gene editing to give our children the happiest, healthiest, best lives they can live; and if we can do this in adults as well. Plus how this will interface with the AI future.
LINKS
How To Make Super Babies
How to have Polygenically Screened Children
Significantly Enhancing Adult Intelligence With Gene Editing May Be Possible
Meiosis is all you need
Welcome Polygenically Screened Babies
Gwern on Embryo Selection
Being Ladylike for Autistic Women Bayes Blast
Dear Grom and Other Stories
Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!
00:00:05 – Super babies!
01:35:34 – HPMOR 10 year anniversary!
01:37:51 – Guild of the Rose
01:39:05 – Steven’s follow-up on Being Ladylike for Autistic Women
01:46:10 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
none
Next Sequence Posts:
Decoherence
The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle

Feb 5, 2025 • 22min
Bayes Blast 39 – Ladylike for Autistics
Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode break

Jan 22, 2025 • 1h 21min
230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich
Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating
LINKS
SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it
Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution
Go Fuck Someone
Selfless Dating
Consensual Hostility (re consent culture)
steelmanning Monogamy
A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory
Eneasz on finding partners that like the opposite sex
Dear Grom and Other Stories
00:00:05 – Dating
01:04:56 – Guild of the Rose
01:08:22 – Less Wrong Posts
01:19:35 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
Zombies: The Movie
Three Dialogues on Identity
Next Sequence Posts:
none

Jan 21, 2025 • 4min
Bayes Blast 38 – Shitcoins
Dive into the wild world of shitcoins and their connection to a political figure. Discover the thrilling and risky nature of investing in these volatile assets through personal stories. Reflect on the GameStop short squeeze and the insights from the film 'Dumb Money'. The conversation highlights the dangers of speculative investments and promotes a cautious approach to the crypto market.
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