
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
Latest episodes

Jun 25, 2025 • 58min
240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg
Join Ben Pace, owner of Science is Weird, known for his innovative education models; Brandon Hendrickson, a 2023 book contest winner; and Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg, a resilient advocate working for Lightcone after facing high P(Doom). They discuss living well amid existential threats, the role of mortality in meaningful living, and the importance of community connections. The conversation dives into balancing joy and creativity with life's uncertainties while addressing how personal choices can shape our responses to potential doom.

Jun 14, 2025 • 16min
Bayes Blast 42 – Epic AI Music
David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here!
Check out the Spotify playlist or the Youtube playlist
He’s also one of the cofounders of the Guild of the Rose! Check them out and our initial episode with him and Alex.

Jun 11, 2025 • 1h 23min
239 – SymbyAI
Steven works at SymbyAI, a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science.
Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon.
LINKS
SymbyAI
Contact Ashia at livaudais@symbyai.com
Kaggle
arXiv
00:00:01 – If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
00:05:40 – SymbyAI
01:17:51 – Guild of the Rose
01:21:05 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
on hiatus, returning this summer

May 28, 2025 • 1h 26min
238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian
We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1.
LINKS
Thomas Ambrose on Twitter
Paid Bonus content for the week – Pressed Into The Navy (patreon, substack)
00:00:05 – The trap
01:19:00 – Guild of the Rose
01:20:16 – Listener Feedback/Corrections & Announcements
01:24:31 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
on hiatus, returning this summer

May 14, 2025 • 1h 27min
237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian
Thomas Ambrose, a long-time rationalist from Denver, shares his inspiring journey of converting to Christianity. He dives into the complexities of navigating morality, examining how childhood beliefs shaped his views. The conversation touches upon the dynamics of personal versus institutional faith and the philosophical nature of goodness and existence. Ambrose intriguingly discusses the evolving ethics of sexuality and challenges conventional thoughts on societal values, making for a thought-provoking exploration of belief and identity.

Apr 30, 2025 • 1h 47min
236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan
Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “Twilight of the Edgelords,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime.
CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post
LINKS
Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords
Liam & Waweru’s fiction & philosophy podcast – 2 Rash 2 Unadvised
Paid Bonus content for the week – Liam on Them, 2:40 on Deontology, Steven on Black Mirror and Formula 1
also mentioned:
Liam’s previous Gender Explained (substack and patreon)
Eneasz’s post Does The Omelas Kid Have An Obligation To Suffer?
Eneasz & Matt analyze Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (and coming soon: Steven & Brian on Blindsight)
The Rationalist Summer Trifecta:
Manifest 2025
LessOnline 2025
VibeCamp 2025
00:00:05 – Twilight of the Edgelords
01:28:04 – Eneasz & Steven catch-up
01:36:48 – Guild of the Rose
01:39:42 – Rationalist Summer Trifecta
02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
on hiatus, returning this summer

Apr 16, 2025 • 2h 24min
235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen
Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that.
LINKS
Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different
Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight
Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things
Clearer Thinking’s Gender Continuum Test
The Mind Killer – biweekly news podcast via rationalists
Ghibli Eve Theory of Consciousness
00:00:05 – Gender Differences
02:20:31 – Guild of the Rose
02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
on hiatus, returning this summer

Apr 2, 2025 • 1h 53min
234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice
We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit.
LINKS
Give Directly
GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet
00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice
01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism
01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose
01:51:36 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
None
Next Sequence Posts:
None

Mar 19, 2025 • 1h 31min
233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten
Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take.
LINKS
Narrow Path
Center for AI Policy
Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack
Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email Jason at jason@aipolicy.us
TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy
Kickstarter link for Thomas Eliot’s new game: The Singularity Will Happen In Less Than A Year
00:00:05 – AI Policy in D.C.
01:20:07 – Fundraising for CAIP and The Singularity Will Happen in Less Than a Year
01:24:28 – Guild of the Rose
01:29:16 – Thank the Supporter!
Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast
LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:
None
Next Sequence Posts:
None

Mar 8, 2025 • 5min
Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan
The podcast highlights an initiative by the White House urging public feedback on AI safety. It discusses the vital role of citizen participation in shaping AI governance. Listeners are encouraged to voice their opinions, stressing that individual contributions can significantly influence policy more than traditional voting methods. Engaging in these discussions is portrayed as crucial for ensuring AI developments align with the public interest.