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The Bayesian Conspiracy

Latest episodes

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Apr 2, 2025 • 1h 53min

234 – Give Directly, with Nick Allardice

We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of Give Directly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism 01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:51:36 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts: None  
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Mar 19, 2025 • 1h 31min

233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten

Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email Jason at jason@aipolicy.us TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy Kickstarter link for Thomas Eliot’s new game: The Singularity Will Happen In Less Than A Year 00:00:05 – AI Policy in D.C. 01:20:07 – Fundraising for CAIP and The Singularity Will Happen in Less Than a Year 01:24:28 – Guild of the Rose 01:29:16 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts: None
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Mar 8, 2025 • 5min

Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan

The podcast highlights an initiative by the White House urging public feedback on AI safety. It discusses the vital role of citizen participation in shaping AI governance. Listeners are encouraged to voice their opinions, stressing that individual contributions can significantly influence policy more than traditional voting methods. Engaging in these discussions is portrayed as crucial for ensuring AI developments align with the public interest.
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Mar 5, 2025 • 1h 31min

232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett

John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change. LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled Compound” Trace on the FAA hiring scandal What We Owe the Future (Will MacAskill) Center for AI Policy TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy Horizon Institute for Public Service Fellowships Dear Grom and Other Stories  Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out! 00:00:05 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change 01:03:20 – HPMOR 10 year anniversary reminder 01:06:10 – Guild of the Rose 01:09:14 – Less Wrong Posts 01:29:04 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Decoherence The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle Next Sequence Posts: none
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Feb 21, 2025 • 12min

Bayes Blast 40 – HPMOR 10 Year Anniversary Parties

Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!
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Feb 19, 2025 • 1h 49min

231 – SuperBabies, with Gene Smith

Gene Smith on polygenic screening; gene editing to give our children the happiest, healthiest, best lives they can live; and if we can do this in adults as well. Plus how this will interface with the AI future.   LINKS How To Make Super Babies How to have Polygenically Screened Children Significantly Enhancing Adult Intelligence With Gene Editing May Be Possible Meiosis is all you need Welcome Polygenically Screened Babies Gwern on Embryo Selection Being Ladylike for Autistic Women Bayes Blast Dear Grom and Other Stories  Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out! 00:00:05 – Super babies! 01:35:34 – HPMOR 10 year anniversary! 01:37:51 – Guild of the Rose 01:39:05 – Steven’s follow-up on Being Ladylike for Autistic Women 01:46:10 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Sequence Posts: Decoherence The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle
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Feb 5, 2025 • 22min

Bayes Blast 39 – Ladylike for Autistics

Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode break
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Jan 22, 2025 • 1h 21min

230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich

Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning Monogamy A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory Eneasz on finding partners that like the opposite sex Dear Grom and Other Stories 00:00:05 – Dating 01:04:56 – Guild of the Rose 01:08:22 – Less Wrong Posts 01:19:35 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Zombies: The Movie Three Dialogues on Identity Next Sequence Posts: none
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Jan 21, 2025 • 4min

Bayes Blast 38 – Shitcoins

Dive into the wild world of shitcoins and their connection to a political figure. Discover the thrilling and risky nature of investing in these volatile assets through personal stories. Reflect on the GameStop short squeeze and the insights from the film 'Dumb Money'. The conversation highlights the dangers of speculative investments and promotes a cautious approach to the crypto market.
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Jan 13, 2025 • 7min

Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat

Dive into the ethical maze of sacrificing a pet to save a friend’s life. The discussion illuminates troubling moral dilemmas around trust and desperate pacts. Explore the implications of promises made in dire circumstances, and how they reflect on friendships. Plus, a lively Q&A that challenges listeners' perspectives on this heavy topic. It’s a conversation that mixes dark humor with deep philosophical inquiry, leaving you to ponder what you would do in a similar situation.

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