
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
Latest episodes

Mar 5, 2025 • 1h 31min
232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett
John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change. LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled … Continue reading →

Feb 21, 2025 • 12min
Bayes Blast 40 – HPMOR 10 Year Anniversary Parties
Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!

12 snips
Feb 19, 2025 • 1h 49min
231 – SuperBabies, with Gene Smith
Gene Smith on polygenic screening; gene editing to give our children the happiest, healthiest, best lives they can live; and if we can do this in adults as well. Plus how this will interface with the AI future. LINKS … Continue reading →

Feb 5, 2025 • 22min
Bayes Blast 39 – Ladylike for Autistics
Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode break

Jan 22, 2025 • 1h 21min
230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich
Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning … Continue reading →

Jan 21, 2025 • 4min
Bayes Blast 38 – Shitcoins
Dive into the wild world of shitcoins and their connection to a political figure. Discover the thrilling and risky nature of investing in these volatile assets through personal stories. Reflect on the GameStop short squeeze and the insights from the film 'Dumb Money'. The conversation highlights the dangers of speculative investments and promotes a cautious approach to the crypto market.

Jan 13, 2025 • 7min
Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat
Dive into the ethical maze of sacrificing a pet to save a friend’s life. The discussion illuminates troubling moral dilemmas around trust and desperate pacts. Explore the implications of promises made in dire circumstances, and how they reflect on friendships. Plus, a lively Q&A that challenges listeners' perspectives on this heavy topic. It’s a conversation that mixes dark humor with deep philosophical inquiry, leaving you to ponder what you would do in a similar situation.

Jan 8, 2025 • 1h 27min
229 – Integrating Emotions
Eric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – eric@ericlanigan.com LINKS EnjoyExisting.org Ugh Fields You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog … Continue reading →

Dec 28, 2024 • 1min
LW Census 2024
If you haven’t yet, go fill out the 2024 LW Census. Right here.

Dec 24, 2024 • 2h 6min
228 – The Deep Lore of LightHaven, with Oliver Habryka
Oliver Habryka, a key figure in the rationalist community, discusses the intriguing evolution of LightHaven from the LessWrong platform. He explores the impact of the FTX collapse on funding and community dynamics. Habryka shares insights on innovative conference structures and the ethical implications of organizations like Leverage Research. The conversation touches on the importance of community engagement, donor recognition, and plans for nurturing intellectual exchange at LightHaven. Join the journey through rationality, empathy, and the future of effective altruism!