

The Bayesian Conspiracy
The Bayesian Conspiracy
A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.
Episodes
Mentioned books

Apr 16, 2025 • 2h 24min
235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen
Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things Clearer Thinking’s Gender […]

Apr 2, 2025 • 1h 53min
234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice
We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism 01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:51:36 […]

Mar 19, 2025 • 1h 31min
233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten
Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email […]

Mar 8, 2025 • 5min
Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan
The podcast highlights an initiative by the White House urging public feedback on AI safety. It discusses the vital role of citizen participation in shaping AI governance. Listeners are encouraged to voice their opinions, stressing that individual contributions can significantly influence policy more than traditional voting methods. Engaging in these discussions is portrayed as crucial for ensuring AI developments align with the public interest.

Mar 5, 2025 • 1h 31min
232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett
John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change. LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled Compound” Trace on the FAA hiring scandal What We Owe the Future (Will MacAskill) Center […]

Feb 21, 2025 • 12min
Bayes Blast 40 – HPMOR 10 Year Anniversary Parties
Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!

Feb 5, 2025 • 22min
Bayes Blast 39 – Ladylike for Autistics
Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode break

Jan 22, 2025 • 1h 21min
230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich
Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning Monogamy A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory Eneasz on finding partners that like the opposite […]

Jan 21, 2025 • 4min
Bayes Blast 38 – Shitcoins
Dive into the wild world of shitcoins and their connection to a political figure. Discover the thrilling and risky nature of investing in these volatile assets through personal stories. Reflect on the GameStop short squeeze and the insights from the film 'Dumb Money'. The conversation highlights the dangers of speculative investments and promotes a cautious approach to the crypto market.

Jan 13, 2025 • 7min
Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat
Dive into the ethical maze of sacrificing a pet to save a friend’s life. The discussion illuminates troubling moral dilemmas around trust and desperate pacts. Explore the implications of promises made in dire circumstances, and how they reflect on friendships. Plus, a lively Q&A that challenges listeners' perspectives on this heavy topic. It’s a conversation that mixes dark humor with deep philosophical inquiry, leaving you to ponder what you would do in a similar situation.


