
177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman
The Bayesian Conspiracy
Do Your Best to Make Better Decisions, Right?
Think of it this way, if you make one decision every month using a decision tree that you have thought carefully about, then every, every time you do that, you're steering your future into a world line that is higher in your preference ordering. So 12 of those a year is 12 times, maybe they're minor decisions, but 12 times that you're at, that's up to turning this way rather than that way. Or maybe you're going with the decision you would have anyway, in which case you just get a bit more confident about that decision. Like I'm all for just saying, like using it as a psychological tool more than a like, I'm in a reformat
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