Simeon Campos on Short Timelines, AI Governance and AI Alignment Field Building

1

Introduction

00:00 • 2min

2

The Impact of Safer AI

01:49 • 2min

3

The Future of AI

03:25 • 2min

4

How to Find Talented Management to Solve Alignment

04:56 • 2min

5

The Importance of Experience in AI Alignment

06:29 • 2min

6

How to Be a Better Programmer

08:40 • 2min

7

The Future of AI Alignment

11:08 • 2min

8

GPT-4: A General Reasoner

13:19 • 2min

9

The Importance of Optimizing Twitter Constraints

15:22 • 2min

10

The Impact of Short Timelines on AGI Development

17:11 • 2min

11

The Differences Between Governance and Alignment

19:26 • 3min

12

How to Convince Actors to Agree on AI Alignment

22:00 • 3min

13

The Importance of Alignment in AI

24:31 • 2min

14

The Problem With AI Arguments

26:01 • 2min

15

The Importance of Technical Versions of Existential Risk Arguments

28:19 • 2min

16

The Importance of Having Short Timelines

30:45 • 3min

17

The Impact of Coding on Short Timelines

33:37 • 2min

18

The Future of Engineering

35:27 • 2min

19

The Importance of Fast Takeoff

37:16 • 2min

20

The Future of Learning Mechanisms

38:53 • 3min

21

The Future of Language Modeling

41:36 • 2min

22

The Future of AI

43:53 • 2min

23

How AI Can Kill Humans

45:55 • 2min

24

Alpha Tensor: A New Approach to Search

47:57 • 2min

25

The Importance of Personal Filling Subjective Filling

50:09 • 3min

26

The Future of AI

52:44 • 2min

27

The Potential of RL in Deep Learning

54:51 • 2min

28

The 90% Chance of Not Having AJ

56:55 • 2min

29

The Effect of More R&D on Growth

58:48 • 2min

30

The Importance of Inflation

01:00:49 • 2min

31

How to Be a Successful AI Power Seeker

01:02:44 • 2min

32

The Future of Artificial Intelligence

01:04:16 • 2min

33

What Would Make Your Timelines Longer?

01:05:53 • 2min

34

The Probability of a Financial Market Crash

01:07:37 • 2min

35

How to Form Inside Views on Alignment and Timelines

01:09:22 • 3min

36

The Challenges of Long Timelines in AI Governance

01:11:56 • 3min

37

The Benefits of Clemention for China and Russia

01:14:30 • 2min

38

The Importance of Short Timelines in AI

01:16:04 • 3min

39

How to Optimize Your Career to Maximize Impact

01:19:19 • 2min

40

Compute Governance and the Importance of It in AI Progress

01:21:24 • 3min

41

OpenAI and the Future of GPUs

01:24:40 • 2min

42

How to Succeed in a World Where TSMC Accepts Off Switch Features

01:26:33 • 2min

43

Coping Governance: A Distraction From Alignment Concerns

01:28:05 • 3min

44

The Future of Computing

01:30:38 • 2min

45

Joe Biden's Compute Governance Game

01:32:42 • 2min

46

The Chance of China Inviting Taiwan

01:34:14 • 2min

47

The US and China's Pressure on ASML

01:36:21 • 2min

48

AI Alignment: The High Value Thing to Do

01:37:55 • 2min

49

How Deep Learning Can Help You Get More Pay in Your Career

01:39:57 • 2min

50

How Deep Mind Can Help You Achieve Your Goals

01:41:33 • 2min

51

How to Create a Deep Learning Company

01:43:05 • 2min

52

How to Reach 10,000 People Working in Alignment

01:44:38 • 2min

53

How to Brainwash Students to Save the World

01:46:18 • 2min

54

The Importance of Good-to-Building for AI

01:48:15 • 3min

55

How to Measure Motivation After a Boot Camp

01:50:52 • 2min

56

The Impact of Robert Miles on AI Alignment

01:52:49 • 2min

57

How to Change Your Mind on Talks and Conferences

01:54:37 • 2min

58

The Importance of Accepting Objections

01:56:57 • 3min

59

How to Upskill for Short-Time Lines

02:00:06 • 4min