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3min chapter
Simeon Campos on Short Timelines, AI Governance and AI Alignment Field Building
The Inside View
The Importance of Personal Filling Subjective Filling
We'll be talking a lot about AGI but I guess most people want to know what's your 10% chance of AGI. So if you have the numbers in mind or maybe it would be like how you reason about those things could you give us like my 10% 50% and 90% chance of it happening for both? We can still get some algorithmic improvements in how much compute you use an ethnic matrix multiplication is kind of the core of what is used for you know deep learning so even for this like core thing we can still make it more efficient.
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