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Simeon Campos on Short Timelines, AI Governance and AI Alignment Field Building
The Inside View
The Future of AI
I think that typically alphabet like Google could probably scale their models by three orders of magnitude over a few years. So it's similar to what we had with like augmented condition from Paul Christiana where you have like some supervisors that create other copies. If they invest that much money into just like scaling current language models we could get something that is much better at reasoning that which is where you're maybe in JPT-5. I'm not sure we're still in the realm of subhuman AI basically. We haven't yet seen the investment top or rich some like a single limit and we're still like much lower than what you know GDP allows us so it is one of the reasons why you
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