

#210
Mentioned in 63 episodes
The Precipice
Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity
Book • 2020
In this book, Toby Ord argues that humanity is in a uniquely dangerous period, which he terms 'the Precipice,' beginning with the first atomic bomb test in 1945.
Ord examines various existential risks, including natural and anthropogenic threats, and estimates that there is a one in six chance of humanity suffering an existential catastrophe within the next 100 years.
He advocates for a major reorientation in how we see the world and our role in it, emphasizing the need for collective action to minimize these risks and ensure a safe future for humanity.
The book integrates insights from multiple disciplines, including physics, biology, earth science, computer science, history, anthropology, statistics, international relations, and moral philosophy.
Ord examines various existential risks, including natural and anthropogenic threats, and estimates that there is a one in six chance of humanity suffering an existential catastrophe within the next 100 years.
He advocates for a major reorientation in how we see the world and our role in it, emphasizing the need for collective action to minimize these risks and ensure a safe future for humanity.
The book integrates insights from multiple disciplines, including physics, biology, earth science, computer science, history, anthropology, statistics, international relations, and moral philosophy.
Mentioned by

























Mentioned in 63 episodes
Mentioned by 

as a primer on existential risk.


Chris Williamson

462 snips
#676 - Eric Weinstein - Why Can No One Agree On The Truth Anymore?
Mentioned by 

as the book 

is most well known for.


Rob Wiblin


Toby Ord

443 snips
#219 – Toby Ord on graphs AI companies would prefer you didn't (fully) understand
Mentioned by 

in the context of AI risk and existential threats.


Chris Williamson

310 snips
#651 - Dr Mike Israetel - Can Money Actually Buy You Happiness?
Mentioned by 

as a complement to his book, detailing existential risks.


William MacAskill

181 snips
#612: Will MacAskill of Effective Altruism Fame — The Value of Longtermism, Tools for Beating Stress and Overwhelm, AI Scenarios, High-Impact Books, and How to Save the World and Be an Agent of Change
Mentioned by 

as a book about existential risks.


Chris Williamson

169 snips
#727 - James Smith - Do You Actually Need Passion To Be Successful?
Mentioned by 

as an excellent book that complements his own, detailing catastrophic risks.


William MacAskill

140 snips
Moral Philosopher Will MacAskill on What We Owe The Future
Mentioned by 

as one of his five best books ever read, discussing existential risks.


Chris Williamson

122 snips
#598 - Dr Jonathan Anomaly - The Wild Ethics Of Human Genetic Enhancement
Mentioned by 

as the author of 'The Precipice', discussing existential risks and long-termism.


Peter Singer

88 snips
Good Robot #3: Let’s fix everything
Mentioned by 

in the context of existential risk and long-termism.


Sam Harris

73 snips
#361 — Sam Bankman-Fried & Effective Altruism
Mentioned by 

in relation to Asquith's love affair and Churchill's ambition during WWI.


David Runciman

67 snips
PPF Live Special: Churchill – The Politician With Nine Lives w/Robert Saunders
Mentioned by Toby Ord as an introduction to existential risk.

66 snips
#100 – Having a successful career with depression, anxiety and imposter syndrome
Mentioned by 

when discussing the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament.


Ezra Karger

65 snips
#200 – Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks
Mentioned by 

when discussing the risks of AI and potential existential threats.


Nathan Labenz

61 snips
#176 – Nathan Labenz on the final push for AGI, understanding OpenAI's leadership drama, and red-teaming frontier models
Mentioned by 

as a book offering an analogy of humanity walking a precarious cliff edge.


Chris Williamson

60 snips
#803 - Nick Bostrom - Are We Headed For AI Utopia Or Disaster?
Mentioned by ![undefined]()

when discussing a book by Toby Ord.

Luisa Rodriguez

48 snips
#188 – Matt Clancy on whether science is good
Mentioned by 

in relation to the original definition of existential risk.


Luke Kemp

43 snips
Existential Risks: The Biggest Threats to Life as We Know It with Luke Kemp
Mentioned by 

as the final push to start her own studio.


Elizabeth Cox

43 snips
#208 – Elizabeth Cox on the case that TV shows, movies, and novels can improve the world
Mentioned by 

, quoting Seneca's insights on the cumulative nature of knowledge.


William MacAskill

42 snips
Will MacAskill on Creating Lasting Change
Mentioned by ![undefined]()

when discussing humanity's potential for self-destruction.

Chris Mason

39 snips
#283 – Chris Mason: Space Travel, Colonization, and Long-Term Survival in Space
Mentioned by 

and ![undefined]()

as a book on existential risks.


Chris Williamson

Geoffrey Miller

34 snips
#432 - Geoffrey Miller - An Evolutionary Psychologist's Dating Advice