This book provides a comprehensive history of societal collapse, tracing the evolution of human societies from egalitarian groups to dominance hierarchies. It explores how the rise of inequalities, extractive institutions, corruption, and over-expansion led to the downfall of various empires and societies. The author, Luke Kemp, discusses the current global 'Goliath' and its vulnerabilities, including climate change, nuclear weapons, and fragile supply chains, emphasizing the need for democratic control to prevent a final collapse.
In this book, Toby Ord argues that humanity is in a uniquely dangerous period, which he terms 'the Precipice,' beginning with the first atomic bomb test in 1945. Ord examines various existential risks, including natural and anthropogenic threats, and estimates that there is a one in six chance of humanity suffering an existential catastrophe within the next 100 years. He advocates for a major reorientation in how we see the world and our role in it, emphasizing the need for collective action to minimize these risks and ensure a safe future for humanity. The book integrates insights from multiple disciplines, including physics, biology, earth science, computer science, history, anthropology, statistics, international relations, and moral philosophy[1][3][5].
In this book, Duncan J. Watts explores the science of networks and their implications across various disciplines. He discusses the structure of small-world networks, scale-free networks, network searching, epidemics, and network failures. The book includes case studies such as blackouts in the North American electricity distribution network, corporate board relationships, and the distribution of wealth in societies. Watts also delves into the stories of the researchers who developed this science and their contributions to the field. The book aims to make complex network theory accessible to a general audience by using real-life examples and avoiding heavy mathematical detail[1][2][3].
(Conversation recorded on October 22nd, 2024)
The human system as we know it today – which powers our economies, global supply chains, and social contracts – is a fragile network based on innumerable complex components. Yet we rarely stop to recognize its many vulnerabilities, instead taking for granted that it will continue to securely operate indefinitely. But if we take a more careful look, how can we assess the risks of major catastrophic events that could destroy life as we know it?
Today, Nate is joined by Luke Kemp, a researcher whose work is focused on existential risks (or X-risks), which encompass threats of human extinction, societal collapse, and dystopian futures. How can we begin to understand the likelihood and gravity of these ruinous events, and what kinds of responses from people and governments could further undermine social cohesion and resilience?
What roles do human biases, hierarchical power structures, and the development of technologies, like artificial intelligence and geoengineering, play in X-risks? How can we collaborate across industries to protect our modern systems through effective risk management strategies? And in what ways do our institutions need to become more inclusive to better democratize decision-making processes, leading to safer futures for humanity?
About Luke Kemp:
Luke is a Research Affiliate at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk (CSER) and Darwin College at the University of Cambridge. His research focuses on understanding the history and future of extreme global risk. Luke has advised the WHO and multiple international institutions, and his work has been covered by media outlets such as the BBC, New York Times, and the New Yorker. He holds both a Doctorate in International Relations and a Bachelor of Interdisciplinary Studies with first class honours from the Australian National University (ANU). His first book on the deep history and future of societal collapse (titled Goliath’s Curse) will be published with Penguin in June 2025.
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