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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Latest episodes

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Nov 16, 2023 • 51min

The Fight For Working-Class Voters

The podcast discusses the recent shifts in working-class voters towards the right in both the white and non-white communities. Two authors with opposing political views share insights from their books on the subject. The challenges faced by the Republican Party in adapting to changing demographics are examined, as well as the decline in support for Democrats among working-class voters. Strategies for the Republican Party to sustain and expand support among multi-racial working-class voters are explored. The convergence and divergence of Republican and Democratic parties on economic issues are discussed, as well as the tension between short-term politics and long-term challenges.
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Nov 13, 2023 • 1h 4min

If The 2024 Election Were Held Today, Would Trump Win?

Analyzing early polls for the 2024 election, experts discuss Trump's potential advantage, impact of Biden and Trump's policies, significance of swing states and black voter support, likelihood of Trump winning the nomination, unpopularity of Biden and Trump, and the possibility of third-party candidates. They also reflect on poll results on trust in Republicans vs Democrats and views on abortion, emphasizing the importance of understanding the issue landscape.
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Nov 9, 2023 • 39min

Haley Takes On Ramaswamy And DeSantis

Discussion on the intense and controversial third Republican primary debate, Trump's unique manipulation of attention, analysis of Haley and DeSantis's debate performance, speculation on dropouts and endorsements, assessing Tim Scott's campaign strategy, and analyzing candidates' stances on abortion.
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Nov 8, 2023 • 28min

The 2023 Elections Were Good For Democrats

The podcast explores the results of the 2023 elections, with Democratic victories in Kentucky and the passage of abortion protections in Ohio. They discuss the benefits of polarized parties for voters and the influence of the national environment on election outcomes. The Democrats' shift on abortion and polling accuracy are also examined.
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Nov 6, 2023 • 52min

Will Kentucky And Mississippi Elect Democrats?

The 538 Politics podcast discusses the upcoming election in Kentucky and Mississippi, analyzing the competitiveness of the races and the strategies of the candidates. They also delve into the partisan split in worldview and the limitations of polling. The hosts touch on important races in Houston and Bridgeport, and assess the 2024 presidential race with poll results showing Trump ahead of Biden in swing states.
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Nov 2, 2023 • 48min

Adam Kinzinger muses: ‘I would love to run against Ted Cruz'

Former congressman and recent Texas transplant Adam Kinzinger discusses his new book and reflects on the current state of the Republican Party. Topics include running against Ted Cruz, tension within the party, drawing the center back, admired politicians, the future of the GOP, being authentic in politics, and changing dynamics of political parties.
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Oct 30, 2023 • 1h 2min

Pence Is Out, Phillips Is In

In this podcast, the crew discusses the entrance of little-known Democratic challenger Dean Phillips and the exit of former Vice President Mike Pence from the presidential race. They also explore the challenges faced by Pence in gaining support and funding. The chapter further delves into the rise of conservative leader Representative Mike Johnson and the upcoming Election Day 2023, with a focus on the key races and measures in Ohio and Virginia.
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Oct 23, 2023 • 1h 4min

Our First-Ever House Speaker Draft

The podcast discusses the ongoing search for a new House Speaker, analyzing the nine candidates and speculating on the most likely choice. They also delve into the challenges of obtaining accurate information about the Israel-Hamas conflict and the role of social media in spreading misinformation. The potential impact of the war on public opinion, polarization, and calls for an independent investigation are also explored.
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Oct 16, 2023 • 1h 4min

How Americans Feel About The War In Israel

The podcast discusses Americans' reactions to the war in Israel, the shifting sympathies in the Israel-Palestine conflict, and the effectiveness of political ads on voter opinion of Trump. They also explore the ongoing speaker race in Washington and recommend a podcast called Reclaimed the Forgotten League.
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Oct 9, 2023 • 1h 5min

War And A Speakerless House

The podcast discusses how the Hamas attacks on Israel are shaping politics in Washington and on the campaign trail. It also covers notable developments in domestic politics such as Biden's pivot on border security, Robert F Kennedy Jr.'s independent bid for presidency, and 538's Republican primary polling averages. They explore topics like political responses to the Israel-Palestine conflict, challenges in electing a new House Speaker, and electoral consequences of the immigration crisis. They also discuss the potential impact on the Biden administration's public perception, third party candidates, and close elections. Trump remains a strong favorite in primary polling averages.

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