FiveThirtyEight Politics

The podcast explores the accuracy of polls with Biden dismissing them, debunks a viral poll about Holocaust beliefs, and previews the Ohio primary. It delves into challenges of online opt-in polling, polling skepticism, and voter sentiment towards Trump and Biden. Also discusses the Ohio Senate race and campaign controversies.

Presidential campaign stops might not sway voters as much as we think. Analysis of campaign visits from 2008-2020 shows a focus on friendly territories and strategies differ between candidates. Biden and Trump took different approaches in the pandemic. VP picks and campaign stops have a limited impact on election outcomes.

The podcast discusses the importance of Gen Z voters and their interest in TikTok vs. political news, along with insights on youth support for Trump and Biden in the 2024 election. They explore public sentiment towards the general election and highlight swing state polling, voter concerns, and positive election sentiments.

The podcast delves into Biden's State of the Union speech and Britt's rebuttal, highlighting key topics like democracy, freedom, Ukraine, IVF treatments, abortion, immigration, and the economy. The analysis explores the strategic aims of the speeches in appealing to swing voters versus consolidating party support. It also touches on changing voter opinions on border issues and the Republican party's role in addressing them.

Discussion on surprising wins by Nikki Haley and Jason Palmer on Super Tuesday, analysis of election poll forecasts, exploration of Trumpian campaign styles, debates on primary results predicting general election outcomes, impact of Kirsten Sonoma's exit on Arizona Senate race dynamics.

Previewing Super Tuesday with debates on its significance, Mitch McConnell's potential exit, and Congress's response to the Alabama Supreme Court ruling on IVF. Exploring primary outcomes, media narratives, and the influence of political figures like Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama on party dynamics.

Analysis of Michigan primary results reveals discontent within parties. Focus on Trump's and Biden's vulnerabilities. Discussion on looming government shutdown and immigration as key voter issue. Question raised on polling methods using pictures of RFK Jr.

The podcast discusses Nikki Haley's future plans after South Carolina loss, Trump's victory, demographic support, potential independent run, party strategies, and analysis of primary election results

Democrats and Republicans are divided over foreign policy, with conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine. The podcast discusses how these divisions may impact the upcoming presidential election. They also analyze the South Carolina primary race and debate the rankings of American presidents by political scientists.

Discussing former President Trump's legal challenges with 91 charges, including the Manhattan Hush Money case and federal classified documents case. Exploring the legal complexities, public opinion, and potential outcomes of the cases. Highlighting the challenges faced by the Fulton County DA and the implications of Trump running for president amidst legal battles.