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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Latest episodes

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Jan 24, 2024 • 34min

The GOP Primary Is Basically Over

The podcast discusses the results and exit poll data of the New Hampshire primary, highlighting Nikki Haley's performance and appeal to educated and wealthy suburban voters. It also explores the high voter turnout and voting rules in the state. The chapter analyzes the impact of the primary on Dean Phillips' campaign and the unity behind Trump in the GOP.
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Jan 23, 2024 • 1h 1min

Is New Hampshire The End Of The GOP Primary?

The podcast discusses the narrowing of the Republican primary field, Ron DeSantis' decline as a contender, and Nikki Haley's chances in the New Hampshire primary. They also explore candidate improvement through campaigns, timeline considerations for Biden and Trump, and the importance of accurately assessing political knowledge in polling.
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Jan 18, 2024 • 43min

The View From New Hampshire

Galen speaks with Annmarie Timmins, Senior Reporter at the New Hampshire Bulletin, and Neil Levesque, Director of the New Hampshire Institute of Politics, about the potentially competitive contest between Trump and Nikki Haley in New Hampshire's primary. They discuss the impact of cancellation of a debate on their campaigns and voter preferences. The chapter also explores the key issues important to Republican primary voters in the state and Biden's poor performance on immigration.
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Jan 16, 2024 • 41min

Trump Wins Iowa. Now What?

Analyzing the results and implications of Trump's victory in Iowa, including DeSantis edging out Haley. Exploring the challenges faced by DeSantis in emulating Trump's style and the potential impact of Trump's conviction on the election outcome. Highlighting the importance of presidential primaries and discussing the idea of joining tickets and picking a woman as a running mate.
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Jan 11, 2024 • 44min

The Last Debate Before Iowa

Discussion on the final Republican debate before Iowa caucuses, impact of Chris Christie's withdrawal, Trump's behavior in recent debate, understanding Republican base, policy-heavy nature of the debate, Nikki Haley's strong performance on Ukraine issue, impact of early states on primary process.
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Jan 8, 2024 • 1h 4min

No Sleep Till Iowa

Renowned Iowa pollster Ann Selzer discusses likely caucusgoers' views of the candidates and how things could change in the final week of the campaign. ABC News reporters share insights from months of talking to voters and listening to candidates in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. Topics include Trump's support among demographic groups, the threat to the Constitution, challenges in polling, and Nikki Haley's campaign challenges in South Carolina.
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Jan 4, 2024 • 54min

Do The Betting Markets Have 2024 Right?

The podcast discusses the betting markets and predictions for the 2024 election, including Nikki Haley's chances in New Hampshire. They also analyze Joe Biden's probability of becoming the Democratic nominee and the potential impact of a woman running mate for the Republican nominee. The hosts explore how the conflicts in Israel-Hamas and Ukraine could influence the election and how foreign policy affects vote choice. They also discuss immigration laws and the uncertainty of Trump's trials on the 2024 election.
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Jan 1, 2024 • 58min

There Has To Be A Better Way To Pick Presidential Nominees… Right?

This podcast explores the evolution of the American nominating process, endorsements in the Republican party, complexities of the Democratic party coalition, evolution of delegate representation, debates among the founders, democratic candidate selection systems in different countries, and proposals for improving the nomination process.
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Dec 28, 2023 • 49min

How The Primary System Has Shaped Our Politics

Explore the consequences and impact of the primary system on American politics. Learn about the importance of early state primary contests and the emergence of Donald Trump. Discover the significance of endorsements and the flaws in the primary system. Discussion includes potential improvements such as ranked voting.
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Dec 25, 2023 • 37min

Our Presidential Primary System is An Accident

An exploration of the arbitrary nature of the US primary system and the impact of the Iowa caucuses. Delve into the history and evolution of the presidential primary system. Examine the changes in the Democratic Party's nominating process in 1968 and the activists' efforts for party-wide reforms. Learn about the division within the party over the Vietnam War during the 1968 Democratic convention.

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