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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Latest episodes

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Feb 28, 2024 • 49min

What To Make Of The Protest Votes In Michigan

Analysis of Michigan primary results reveals discontent within parties. Focus on Trump's and Biden's vulnerabilities. Discussion on looming government shutdown and immigration as key voter issue. Question raised on polling methods using pictures of RFK Jr.
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Feb 25, 2024 • 48min

After South Carolina Loss, What Is Nikki Haley's Plan?

The podcast discusses Nikki Haley's future plans after South Carolina loss, Trump's victory, demographic support, potential independent run, party strategies, and analysis of primary election results
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Feb 22, 2024 • 52min

Foreign Policy Has Become A Family Feud

Democrats and Republicans are divided over foreign policy, with conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine. The podcast discusses how these divisions may impact the upcoming presidential election. They also analyze the South Carolina primary race and debate the rankings of American presidents by political scientists.
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Feb 19, 2024 • 57min

What Comes Next In Trump's Trials

Discussing former President Trump's legal challenges with 91 charges, including the Manhattan Hush Money case and federal classified documents case. Exploring the legal complexities, public opinion, and potential outcomes of the cases. Highlighting the challenges faced by the Fulton County DA and the implications of Trump running for president amidst legal battles.
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Feb 14, 2024 • 40min

Democrats Notch A Win In The Battle For The Suburbs

Discussion on the surprise victory of Democrat Tom Swazie over Republican Mazie Pilop in New York's third congressional district, the national implications of the election results, Nikki Haley's messaging strategy, and the importance of Asian American voting block in Queens.
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Feb 13, 2024 • 1h 1min

The Political Conversation About Biden's Age

Analysis of the special election in New York's 3rd Congressional District. The significance of the Republican party's campaign strategy in the suburbs. The growing importance of immigration and the border as key issues. Perception of age in Biden and Trump. Concerns about Biden's fitness and Trump's legal troubles. The failure of a bipartisan border security bill in Congress.
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Feb 8, 2024 • 42min

The Data Points That Will Explain The 2024 Election

Experts reveal the most valuable data point for understanding the 2024 election, including voters' perceptions of the candidates, issues that could influence the outcome, and the importance of 'double haters'. They discuss the impact of age on voter preferences, motivations of Latino voters, the significance of voter turnout, the concept of double negatives in elections, and the influence of third-party candidates and Biden's approval rating.
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Feb 5, 2024 • 50min

The Tortured Pundits Department

The podcast discusses the influence of Taylor Swift and whether her endorsement in a presidential election can sway voters. They question the validity of polling data and analyze the impact of Swift on the favorability of the NFL among women. They also discuss Nevada's unique primary system, Nikki Haley's filing status in the primary, fundraising efforts of presidential candidates, the impact of advertising on political races, and Adam Schiff's Senate campaign and strategic use of political advertisements.
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Feb 1, 2024 • 38min

How Americans Feel About The Economy

The podcast explores Americans' views on the economy and President Biden's handling of it. They discuss factors like inflation, interest rates, and the stock market. Experts analyze consumer sentiment and the impact of the news environment on perceptions of inflation. The debate centers around whether sentiment is based on vibes or hard data. The podcast also examines Americans' negative perception of the economy during Biden's presidency and the impact of the pandemic. The current state of the economy is discussed, including low unemployment rates and wage growth.
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Jan 30, 2024 • 1h 8min

Will Politics Or Policy Win Out At The Border?

The 538 Politics podcast discusses evolving public sentiment on immigration, proposed policy changes, and the political landscape. They explore the changing politics of border security, political motivations behind actions, and the split within the Republican Party. They also analyze public opinion on politics, perception of age in relation to the presidency, and the importance of accuracy and transparency in pollster rankings.

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