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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Latest episodes

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Apr 1, 2024 • 55min

The Presidential Election Has Become An Unpopularity Contest

Dive into Americans' fear of flying, shifting views on airline safety, and the impact of new Census survey designs. Explore the legal complexities of abortion medication cases, challenges faced by third-party candidates, and the consequences of unpopular presidential candidates on third-party votes.
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Mar 28, 2024 • 55min

Are US Politics Undergoing A Racial Realignment?

Data reporter John Burn-Murdoch and politics professor Chryl Laird discuss the racial realignment in US politics, with voters of color shifting right and challenging traditional alliances. They explore the impact on Democrats and the potential reasons for this shift.
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Mar 25, 2024 • 47min

Is An Election Vibe Shift Underway?

Discussing the shift in approval ratings between Trump and Biden, the rise in congressional resignations, and a surprising poll showing Larry Hogan leading in the Maryland Senate race. Analyzing the impact of Trump's legal issues, voter perceptions, and partisanship on election dynamics. Delving into Ohio and Georgia's partisan shifts for the 2024 election, media attention on Trump's nomination, and the transformation of the Republican Party.
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Mar 21, 2024 • 57min

538 Debate Club: Should TikTok Be Banned?

Debating whether TikTok should be banned, the podcast features a lively discussion on social media regulation and national security concerns. The speakers delve into the addictive nature of TikTok, Chinese ownership risks, and political implications of a potential ban.
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Mar 18, 2024 • 56min

How Worried Should Democrats Be About The Polls?

The podcast explores the accuracy of polls with Biden dismissing them, debunks a viral poll about Holocaust beliefs, and previews the Ohio primary. It delves into challenges of online opt-in polling, polling skepticism, and voter sentiment towards Trump and Biden. Also discusses the Ohio Senate race and campaign controversies.
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Mar 14, 2024 • 48min

Do Campaign Stops Actually Matter?

Presidential campaign stops might not sway voters as much as we think. Analysis of campaign visits from 2008-2020 shows a focus on friendly territories and strategies differ between candidates. Biden and Trump took different approaches in the pandemic. VP picks and campaign stops have a limited impact on election outcomes.
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Mar 11, 2024 • 50min

Does Gen Z Really Care More About That Viral TikTok Than Politics?

The podcast discusses the importance of Gen Z voters and their interest in TikTok vs. political news, along with insights on youth support for Trump and Biden in the 2024 election. They explore public sentiment towards the general election and highlight swing state polling, voter concerns, and positive election sentiments.
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Mar 8, 2024 • 42min

A Very Political State Of The Union

The podcast delves into Biden's State of the Union speech and Britt's rebuttal, highlighting key topics like democracy, freedom, Ukraine, IVF treatments, abortion, immigration, and the economy. The analysis explores the strategic aims of the speeches in appealing to swing voters versus consolidating party support. It also touches on changing voter opinions on border issues and the Republican party's role in addressing them.
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Mar 6, 2024 • 38min

Super Tuesday Brings A Couple Surprises

Discussion on surprising wins by Nikki Haley and Jason Palmer on Super Tuesday, analysis of election poll forecasts, exploration of Trumpian campaign styles, debates on primary results predicting general election outcomes, impact of Kirsten Sonoma's exit on Arizona Senate race dynamics.
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Mar 5, 2024 • 1h 11min

What To Watch For On Super Tuesday

Previewing Super Tuesday with debates on its significance, Mitch McConnell's potential exit, and Congress's response to the Alabama Supreme Court ruling on IVF. Exploring primary outcomes, media narratives, and the influence of political figures like Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama on party dynamics.

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