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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Latest episodes

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May 6, 2024 • 36min

Will The Protests Over Gaza Affect The 2024 Election?

Exploring the impact of campus protests on graduation events and the youth vote for the 2024 election. Discussing the differences in young vs. older voters' perspectives on Israel-Palestine conflict. Analyzing the influence of Gaza protests on the upcoming election and R.F. K. Jr.'s polling tactics. Presidential candidate proposes a no-spoiler pledge based on polling data. Emphasizing the importance of transparency in polling methodologies and analyzing election polling uncertainties.
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May 2, 2024 • 36min

Why Voters Are Down On The Economy, In Their Own Words

Senior Politics Reporter Monica Potts and host Galen discuss voter sentiments on the economy, highlighting concerns about rising prices, financial struggles, and challenges in saving. They also explore how a clustering algorithm reveals discrepancies in lawmaker voting patterns and ideological clusters within Congress.
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Apr 29, 2024 • 35min

A Tale Of Two Trump Trials

The podcast explores Trump's legal saga with David Pecker's testimony on a 'catch and kill' scheme. The Supreme Court debates presidential immunity in the federal January 6 case, impacting the trial timeline and public opinion. Analysis includes defense arguments on payments to McDougall and Daniels, violations of gag orders, and public influence on jurors.
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Apr 25, 2024 • 42min

538's New Polling Averages Show Close Presidential Race

G. Elliott Morris, Director of Data Analytics at 538, discusses the new presidential polling averages. Topics include battleground state analysis, electoral college math, voter trends, RFK Junior's impact on the race, and the correlation between voter enthusiasm and education levels.
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Apr 22, 2024 • 54min

Are Mike Johnson’s Days Numbered?

Political journalists Rachael Bade, Geoffrey Skelley, and Kaleigh Rogers discuss the passing of aid bills in the House, potential implications for House Speaker Mike Johnson, and previewing the Pennsylvania election. They also touch on climate change perceptions and political stereotypes in a dynamic and engaging conversation.
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Apr 18, 2024 • 36min

In Trump Trial, Jury Selection Is Part Politics

The podcast delves into the jury selection process for Trump's trial in Manhattan, highlighting the 42-question questionnaire, scrutiny of social media posts, and biases. Law professors discuss challenges and expectations of juror bias. The importance of an unbiased jury and how demographics influence opinions on Trump's prosecution are also explored.
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Apr 15, 2024 • 47min

The Political Stakes Of Trump's First Trial

The podcast explores Trump's first trial involving hush money payments to Stormy Daniels and its political stakes. They discuss Arizona's abortion ban, campaign fundraising data, and the impact on voter behavior. The episode delves into the influence of money and media in politics and the significance of financial support on campaign outcomes.
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Apr 11, 2024 • 57min

What's Up With The Kids These Days?

Exploring the shifting preferences of young voters towards Biden and potential impact on the 2024 election. Challenges in polling young voters and reasons for decline in Democratic party support among the youth. Analysis of political leanings, third-party appeal, and generational differences in voter behavior. Reflections on Biden's presidency and concerns about American politics.
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Apr 8, 2024 • 58min

Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender

Tim Scott, a potential Trump VP pick, is discussed in detail. The podcast explores his conservative views, relationship with Trump, and appeal to voters. The crew also predicts electoral outcomes using demographic shifts and analyzes potential female governors as VP contenders. Speculations on other candidates like Sarah Huckabee Sanders and Greg Abbott are examined, providing insight into the VP selection process.
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Apr 4, 2024 • 50min

Where Will People Commune In A Godless America?

Experts discuss the rapid decline of religious affiliation in America, impacting communities and politics. Topics include reasons for decline, challenges for political parties, tribal identities, potential revivals, secularization trends, atheist activism, and the impact of social media on community health.

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