Lawmakers debate President Biden's reelection, analyzing support and concerns within the Democratic Party. Polling data compares Trump and Biden's policies' popularity. Discussion on challenges faced by Biden's campaign and American policy preferences. Exploration of reshaping the executive branch and political promises.
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Quick takeaways
Lawmakers are divided on Biden's candidacy, with progressives supporting and moderates expressing concerns.
Public support for Biden's policies surpasses Trump's, indicating potential electoral advantages for the Democrats.
Deep dives
Democrats' Response to Calls on Biden to Step Aside
While some lawmakers are calling for Joe Biden to step aside for the presidential race, Democrats are divided. Progressive lawmakers tend to support him, whereas more moderate members express concerns. There's a notable overlap between the Congressional Black Caucus and progressive clusters, indicating a desire for solidarity within certain groups. Lawmakers in safer seats are wary of jeopardizing their reelection chances by either supporting or opposing Biden.
Vulnerability of Frontline Democrats
Frontline Democrats face a dilemma regarding Joe Biden's candidacy. Some have expressed concerns that Biden could negatively impact their reelection chances due to his low popularity. Surprisingly, only a few vulnerable members have openly called for Biden to step aside. The reluctance to oppose him outright suggests a strategic approach to maintain public support until a more unified decision is reached.
Public Perception of Biden and Trump's Policies
Recent polling data reveals differing public perceptions of Joe Biden and Donald Trump's policy proposals. Biden's policies are generally more popular, with a majority of respondents supporting various initiatives, such as gun purchase background checks. In contrast, Trump's policies face mixed reception, especially regarding immigration-related proposals. These findings underscore the importance of public support in shaping electoral outcomes.
Republican National Convention (RNC) Platform and Project 2025
The Republican National Convention's platform emphasizes border security and immigration restrictions, aligning with Trump's tough stance on these issues. However, the absence of specific details and the avoidance of endorsing a ban on abortion reflect attempts to moderate key positions to appeal to a broader audience. On the other hand, Project 2025, a transition plan linked to Trump's potential future presidency, includes ambitious goals such as expanding executive power and reshaping federal agencies, raising concerns about the party's direction.
The purgatory continues. The number of lawmakers saying President Joe Biden should not run for reelection continues to tick up, while Biden’s answer — that he is staying in the race — remains the same. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we look at data on which lawmakers are calling on Biden to step aside and who is continuing to support him.
The RNC also released its proposed platform this week and we use a good or bad use of polling example to better understand whether former President Donald Trump’s (and Biden's) policies are popular.