Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik discuss post-Trump polling trends and Biden's asylum order. They play election trivia drawing parallels to current politics.
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Quick takeaways
Democrats have never won the top income bracket voters since 1976.
Reagan won the highest percentage of women's votes in 1984 with 58%.
Young voters favored Carter by 8 points in 1976.
Deep dives
Revealing Polling Insights
Reagan won the highest percentage of women's votes in 1984 with 58%, followed by Obama in 2008 with 56%. Young voters favored Carter by 8 points in 1976. Democrats have never won the top income bracket voters since 1976. Biden tied in 2020 but did not win.
Historical Voting Trends
Biden did well with top income bracket voters in 2020 but did not secure a win, continuing the long-standing trend of Democrats never winning this group since 1976. Obama won young voters by 34 points in 2008, Reagan led in 1984 by 18 points, Carter won by 8 points in 1976.
Gender Gap in Voting
Reagan had the support of 58% of women in 1984 compared to Obama's 56% in 2008. Carter won young voters by 8 points in 1976. Democrats have never won the top income bracket voters since 1976.
Highlighting Electoral Patterns
Democrats have never secured victory with the top income bracket voters since 1976. Reagan's landslide victory in 1984 saw him win young voters by 18 points. Carter had an 8 point margin with young voters in 1976.
Key Voting Statistics
Reagan held the highest percent of women's votes at 58% in 1984, followed by Obama with 56% in 2008. Carter won young voters by 8 points in 1976. The top income bracket has never been won by Democrats since 1976.
This installment of the 538 Politics podcast comes to you from the nation's capital, where Galen is joined in-studio by senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich and friend of the podcast, New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik.
They talk about the latest polling since former president Donald Trump's guilty verdict in his Manhattan hush-money trial and President Joe Biden's decision to issue an executive order restricting asylum at the southern border. They also play a game of historical election trivia, drawing parallels from past elections to today.