FiveThirtyEight Politics 538’s New Forecast Says The Election Is A Toss-Up
Jun 11, 2024
G. Elliott Morris discusses the tight 2024 election forecast with potential wins for both Trump and Biden. They analyze polling biases, tipping point states, and the impact of third-party candidates on the election outcome.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Intro
00:00 • 2min
Election Forecasting and Model Methodology
02:23 • 16min
Exploring the Process of Election Forecasting and Modeling Choices
18:34 • 2min
Exploring Personal Aspects and Forecast Details
20:43 • 3min
Analysis of Tipping Point States and Electoral College Popular Vote
23:59 • 4min
Analyzing Polling Biases for Election Forecast
27:37 • 8min
Forecast Release Date and Election Speculations
36:02 • 3min