Why Voters Are Worried About Democracy, In Their Own Words
May 16, 2024
39:05
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2024 election brings concerns about democracy to the forefront. Focus groups reveal diverse voter perspectives - from fear of attacks to skepticism about election integrity. Biden and Trump supporters express deep worries, with Trump supporters emphasizing voter fraud conspiracy theories. Voter concerns extend to limitations of two-party system, voter suppression, and dissatisfaction with political institutions. Analysis shows stark divide between Democrats and Republicans in perceptions of democracy post-election. Acceptance of norm-breaking behavior in politics raises concerns about impact on democratic norms.
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Quick takeaways
Voters express concerns about democracy including election integrity and norm-breaking behavior.
Both sides are dissatisfied with the two-party system, voter suppression, and influence by the wealthy.
Deep dives
Concerns About Democracy in the 2024 Election
The podcast delves into concerns regarding democracy and the upcoming 2024 election. With a historical low satisfaction rate in the functioning of democracy recorded by Gallup, it highlights a significant portion of registered voters seeking major changes. Different voter groups express varying concerns, from worries about election integrity and norm-breaking behavior to structural issues like the fairness of the Electoral College.
Impact of Trump's Norm-Breaking Behavior
The episode discusses the impact of former President Trump's norm-breaking behavior on democracy. Supporters of Biden express concerns about Trump's undermining of the 2020 election and potential authoritarian measures if re-elected. On the other hand, Trump-leaning voters resonate conspiracy theories like illegal immigrants voting, which can fuel distrust in election results and potential unrest.
Reflections on January 6 and Voter Sentiments
The podcast addresses reflections on the January 6 events and voter sentiments towards democracy. Biden leaners express continued worries about a repeat of such events, while Trump leaners show a softening in views about the Capitol attack over time. The episode reveals a divide in perceptions with different groups interpreting democratic threats differently.
Broad Public Concerns and Expert Analysis
The episode explores broader concerns about democracy beyond recent dynamics. Both sides express dissatisfaction with the two-party system and observe ongoing challenges like voter suppression and influence by the wealthy. The divide in expert and public ratings of democracy's functioning reflects differing perceptions of the system's health.
Concerns about democracy are central to the 2024 election. Late last year, Gallup recorded a record low number of Americans who said they are satisfied with the way democracy is working. And in the latest polling from The New York Times/Siena College, 14 percent of voters said the economic and political system needs to be torn down entirely, while 55 percent said it needs major changes.
To better understand how Americans are thinking about democracy heading into the election, 538 teamed up with PerryUndem, a nonpartisan research firm, to conduct focus groups with voters. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we hear from those voters. We also speak with Gretchen Helmke of Bright Line Watch, which conducts regular polling of experts and Americans on the potential threats to democracy.