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G. Elliott Morris, Director of Data Analytics at 538, discusses the new presidential polling averages. Topics include battleground state analysis, electoral college math, voter trends, RFK Junior's impact on the race, and the correlation between voter enthusiasm and education levels.
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Quick takeaways
- Biden leads in Sun Belt states contrast with Trump's national lead, showing a close presidential race.
- Shift in non-white voter trends and educational polarization impact Democratic support dynamics.
Deep dives
Launch of State and National Polling Averages
The podcast episode introduces the launch of state and national polling averages by Five Thirty Eight, aiming to reduce poll-by-poll freakouts and provide a comprehensive average for listeners. Noteworthy insights include Trump leading Biden nationally by half a percentage point, a tie in the Sun Belt states, and varying leads in battleground states like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.
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Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode