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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Are US Politics Undergoing A Racial Realignment?

Mar 28, 2024
54:56
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Data reporter John Burn-Murdoch and politics professor Chryl Laird discuss the racial realignment in US politics, with voters of color shifting right and challenging traditional alliances. They explore the impact on Democrats and the potential reasons for this shift.
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Quick takeaways

  • Voters of color show significant shifts towards the right, challenging traditional partisan alliances.
  • Factors influencing the potential racial realignment include fading civil rights era memories and reduced social pressures.

Deep dives

Shift in Support for Democrats Among Voters of Color

Support for Democrats among voters of color declined from 2016 to 2020, with significant swings observed. Latino voters shifted eight points toward Trump, the largest among racial and ethnic groups. Black voters also swung three points right while remaining largely for Biden. A possible racial realignment in American politics is suggested by the data analysis.

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