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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Super Tuesday Brings A Couple Surprises

Mar 6, 2024
37:32
Snipd AI
Discussion on surprising wins by Nikki Haley and Jason Palmer on Super Tuesday, analysis of election poll forecasts, exploration of Trumpian campaign styles, debates on primary results predicting general election outcomes, impact of Kirsten Sonoma's exit on Arizona Senate race dynamics.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Nikki Haley's unexpected win in Vermont primary indicates a departure from strong Trump support.
  • Polling errors reveal potential dissatisfaction with Biden among Democratic voters, emphasizing the need for reliable data.

Deep dives

Nikki Haley's Success in Vermont Primary

Nikki Haley's victory in the Vermont primary stands out as a significant upset opportunity. The moderate Republican electorate in Vermont favored Haley, indicating a departure from the strong Trump support in other states. Analysis of past primary votes revealed a trend where combined support for Kasich and Rubio aligns closely with Haley's win in Vermont, showcasing a unique voter dynamic in the state.

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