Does Gen Z Really Care More About That Viral TikTok Than Politics?
Mar 11, 2024
50:26
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The podcast discusses the importance of Gen Z voters and their interest in TikTok vs. political news, along with insights on youth support for Trump and Biden in the 2024 election. They explore public sentiment towards the general election and highlight swing state polling, voter concerns, and positive election sentiments.
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Quick takeaways
Gen Z's focus on TikTok over politics sparks debate on polling relevance.
Differing beliefs on election outcome highlight partisan divisions within electorate.
Concerns over Trump's potential law-breaking and abortion bans top voter worries.
Battleground state polling reveals varying candidate support levels across regions.
Majority of Americans pessimistic about country's current direction and future.
Deep dives
Gen Z and Millennials Identifying in a Political Context
40% of Millennials say that Donald Trump's policies have helped them personally, while 57% are worried he would break the law. On the other hand, 23% are concerned that Joe Biden's policies have helped them personally. This contrasts with 18% who believe Biden's policies have had a positive impact.
Public Perception on Presidential Election
69% of Democrats believe Joe Biden will win the election, while 77% of Republicans are convinced that Donald Trump will secure victory. This demonstrates differing perspectives between party affiliations regarding election outcomes.
Voter Concern and Hopefulness
12% of voters view abortion as the most important issue for their 2024 vote, according to the KFF Health Tracking Poll. Additionally, 14% of Americans feel happy, excited, or hopeful about the upcoming presidential election, indicating a mix of emotions among the electorate.
Battleground State Dynamics
In battleground states, Trump holds a 10-point lead in Nevada, with Biden leading by only 2 points in Wisconsin. This reflects varying levels of support for the candidates across key battleground regions.
Democratic Trump Actions Concerns
57% of Americans are worried that Trump would break the law, making it the top concern among Trump actions, as revealed in a multiple choice blueprint survey. Additionally, 48% are concerned about a nationwide abortion ban and 2% about damaging democracy.
American Sentiment on Country's Direction
23% of Americans believe the country is headed in the right direction, while 68% think otherwise. This showcases overall pessimism and concern about the current state of affairs within the country.
Focus on Abortion in 2024 Election
Only 12% of voters view abortion as the most significant issue affecting their 2024 vote, as reported in the KFF Health Tracking Poll. This highlights that while abortion remains a topic of importance, it is not the primary focus for the majority of voters.
Optimism for the Presidential Election
14% of Americans feel happy, excited, or hopeful about the upcoming presidential election, according to the time Siena College poll. This indicates a mix of emotions and attitudes towards the upcoming political event.
Public Sentiment on Abortion Restrictions
Alarmingly, 57% of Americans express concern over potential law-breaking by Trump, as indicated in the blueprint survey. Additionally, 48% worry about the implementation of a nationwide abortion ban and 2% about damaging democracy.
Projections on Election Outcome
In terms of victory predictions, 69% of Democrats foresee Biden's win, while 77% of Republicans anticipate Trump's success. These contrasting perspectives underline the polarized views on election outcomes across party lines.
The general election has begun in earnest and in this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew assesses how the country is feeling about it with a game of “Guess What Americans Think.” What percentage of Americans think the country is on the right track? Or that their preferred candidate will win?
They also ask whether a poll suggesting that Gen Z voters are paying more attention to viral TikToks than the Alabama Supreme Court ruling on in vitro fertilization is a “good or bad use of polling.”
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