The podcast discusses the influence of Taylor Swift and whether her endorsement in a presidential election can sway voters. They question the validity of polling data and analyze the impact of Swift on the favorability of the NFL among women. They also discuss Nevada's unique primary system, Nikki Haley's filing status in the primary, fundraising efforts of presidential candidates, the impact of advertising on political races, and Adam Schiff's Senate campaign and strategic use of political advertisements.
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Quick takeaways
Kirsten Sinema's low fundraising numbers raise doubts about her commitment to re-election and campaign success.
Adam Schiff's $35 million cash on hand gives him a strong position in the California Senate primary.
Deep dives
Kirsten Sinema's low fundraising raises questions about her re-election campaign
Kirsten Sinema, an independent running for re-election in Arizona, only raised $600,000 in the last quarter of 2023. This low fundraising number raises doubts about her commitment to running for re-election and her ability to run a successful campaign.
Adam Schiff holds a significant financial advantage in California Senate race
Adam Schiff, running for Senate in California, ended the last quarter with $35 million in cash on hand. This significant financial advantage puts him in a strong position for the primary election, where second place is up for grabs.
Matt Rosendale's low fundraising could impact Montana Senate race
Matt Rosendale, a potential Republican candidate for Senate in Montana, only raised $98,000 in the last quarter of 2023. This low fundraising number raises questions about his viability as a candidate and his ability to compete with the other Republican contenders, such as Tim Sheehy.
Biden ends 2023 with a slight fundraising edge over Trump
Joe Biden's campaign ended 2023 with $46 million in the bank, giving him a slight fundraising edge over Donald Trump, who had $33 million. This early fundraising advantage could have implications for the general election campaign.
How much influence does Taylor Swift actually have? Would her endorsement in a presidential election move voters? Has her presence at NFL games already created new fans among young women? Some have used polling to suggest it has, so in this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we ask "good or bad use of polling?"
The crew also looks at some of the minor primary contests between now and the South Carolina Republican presidential primary and spotlights the biggest takeaways from last quarter's campaign fundraising numbers.