FiveThirtyEight Politics

Discussion on the final Republican debate before Iowa caucuses, impact of Chris Christie's withdrawal, Trump's behavior in recent debate, understanding Republican base, policy-heavy nature of the debate, Nikki Haley's strong performance on Ukraine issue, impact of early states on primary process.

Renowned Iowa pollster Ann Selzer discusses likely caucusgoers' views of the candidates and how things could change in the final week of the campaign. ABC News reporters share insights from months of talking to voters and listening to candidates in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. Topics include Trump's support among demographic groups, the threat to the Constitution, challenges in polling, and Nikki Haley's campaign challenges in South Carolina.

The podcast discusses the betting markets and predictions for the 2024 election, including Nikki Haley's chances in New Hampshire. They also analyze Joe Biden's probability of becoming the Democratic nominee and the potential impact of a woman running mate for the Republican nominee. The hosts explore how the conflicts in Israel-Hamas and Ukraine could influence the election and how foreign policy affects vote choice. They also discuss immigration laws and the uncertainty of Trump's trials on the 2024 election.

This podcast explores the evolution of the American nominating process, endorsements in the Republican party, complexities of the Democratic party coalition, evolution of delegate representation, debates among the founders, democratic candidate selection systems in different countries, and proposals for improving the nomination process.

Explore the consequences and impact of the primary system on American politics. Learn about the importance of early state primary contests and the emergence of Donald Trump. Discover the significance of endorsements and the flaws in the primary system. Discussion includes potential improvements such as ranked voting.

An exploration of the arbitrary nature of the US primary system and the impact of the Iowa caucuses. Delve into the history and evolution of the presidential primary system. Examine the changes in the Democratic Party's nominating process in 1968 and the activists' efforts for party-wide reforms. Learn about the division within the party over the Vietnam War during the 1968 Democratic convention.

The crew reflects on the weirdest political moments of 2023, debates the best type of Christmas cookie, discusses the major political events of the year, explores the factors that could shape the 2024 election, and speculates on the impact of redistricting and Trump's indictments. They also share their weirdest moments, play 'Guess What Americans Think,' and discuss preferences for colored lights and Christmas trees.

Kimberly Wehle, professor of law, and Geoffrey Skelley, elections analyst, discuss the recent ruling by the Colorado Supreme Court barring Trump from the ballot. They explore the legal grounding, political reaction, and the possibility of the U.S. Supreme Court getting involved.

Discussion on impeachment, Senate negotiations, and poll data. Focus on concessions, polling on immigration and national security, and immigration debates in the upcoming election. Analysis of Trump's chances in the Republican primary and the significance of endorsements. Data analysis on off-year elections and high voter turnout.

Analyzing the dynamics within the Democratic Party, this podcast explores the shift from left populist candidates to Joe Biden in the presidential primaries. It discusses party unity, declining support among young voters, and generational divides on issues like the Israel-Hamas conflict. Journalist Joshua Green delves into the rise of left populism, the Republican Party's evolving stance on spending, and the challenges faced by progressive candidates. The influence of Donald Trump as a unifying force among Democrats is also examined.