The crew reflects on the weirdest political moments of 2023, debates the best type of Christmas cookie, discusses the major political events of the year, explores the factors that could shape the 2024 election, and speculates on the impact of redistricting and Trump's indictments. They also share their weirdest moments, play 'Guess What Americans Think,' and discuss preferences for colored lights and Christmas trees.
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Quick takeaways
The Ohio vote codifying abortion rights into the state constitution highlights the ongoing significance of the abortion debate in the upcoming presidential race.
Trump's potential indictment and trial could have a significant impact on the 2024 presidential election, shaping the campaign as a major news event and affecting his favorability ratings.
39% of Americans consider Die Hard to be a Christmas movie, showcasing the diverse opinions on what constitutes a holiday film.
Deep dives
Die Hard as a Christmas Movie
39% of Americans consider Die Hard to be a Christmas movie.
Expecting a Holiday Bonus
22% of Americans expect to receive a holiday bonus from their employer.
Santa Claus' Political Affiliation
The plurality of Americans believe Santa Claus would support the independent party.
Impact of Ohio Vote on Abortion Rights
The podcast delves into the significance of the Ohio vote where abortion rights were codified into the state constitution. It highlights that this event is not a party-based issue, as people can ideologically expand what their own party stands for. While it may not trigger voters to cross party lines, it indicates that the abortion debate is far from over and will have a dominant role in the upcoming presidential race.
Potential Influence of Trump's Indictments
The podcast explores the potential impact of Trump's indictments on the 2024 presidential election. It suggests that if Trump goes to trial and is convicted, it could significantly shape the campaign as a major news event. Negative stories about Trump have historically affected his favorability ratings, and the trial could have a similar impact. While other factors like Biden's performance and the economy are also important, Trump's legal situation could play a decisive role in the race.
In this holiday installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew looks back at some of the most important political events of 2023 as well as some of the weirder political stories of the year. They also debate the thorny question of which types of cookies can be considered "Christmas cookies" in a festive edition of "Good or Bad Use of Polling." To wrap it all up, they play "Guess What Americans Think" and guess the answers to polling questions like, "If Santa were a registered voter, which party would he belong to?"