FiveThirtyEight Politics Do The Betting Markets Have 2024 Right?
Jan 4, 2024
The podcast discusses the betting markets and predictions for the 2024 election, including Nikki Haley's chances in New Hampshire. They also analyze Joe Biden's probability of becoming the Democratic nominee and the potential impact of a woman running mate for the Republican nominee. The hosts explore how the conflicts in Israel-Hamas and Ukraine could influence the election and how foreign policy affects vote choice. They also discuss immigration laws and the uncertainty of Trump's trials on the 2024 election.
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
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Introduction
00:00 • 2min
Betting Markets and Predictions for the 2024 Election
02:08 • 13min
Joe Biden's Chances in the 2024 Election
14:46 • 7min
The Probability of a Woman Running Mate for the Republican Nominee
22:03 • 16min
The Impact of Israel-Hamas and Ukraine Conflicts on the Election
37:48 • 2min
The Impact of Foreign Policy on Vote Choice
39:23 • 7min
Immigration Laws, Bipartisan Consensus, and Unanswered Questions
46:17 • 2min
The Uncertainty of Trump's Trials and Its Impact on the 2024 Election
48:46 • 2min