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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Trump's Primary Challengers Are Running Out of Time

Dec 19, 2023
01:07:01
Snipd AI
Discussion on impeachment, Senate negotiations, and poll data. Focus on concessions, polling on immigration and national security, and immigration debates in the upcoming election. Analysis of Trump's chances in the Republican primary and the significance of endorsements. Data analysis on off-year elections and high voter turnout.
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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • High turnout in off-year elections is driven by factors such as political engagement, issue salience, and expanded access to early voting and mail-in ballots.
  • Endorsements by political figures have varying impacts on voter turnout and support depending on the state and specific race, with former President Trump's endorsements carrying significant weight within the Republican Party.

Deep dives

High Turnout in Off-Year Elections

Turnout in off-year elections has remained high in recent years, with 2023 showing comparable rates to previous off-year elections. Factors contributing to this trend include increased political engagement, expanded access to mail-in and early voting, and a high level of political awareness among voters. The high turnout could also be attributed to the impact of specific issues or candidates on the ballot, such as the abortion measure in Ohio. Suburban and exurban areas generally showed higher turnout rates compared to urban areas, highlighting a potential shift in voter behavior.

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