#50 – Doyne Farmer on Complexity and Predicting Technological Progress

1

Introduction

00:00 • 2min

2

Canhave Beat the Roulette Wheel?

01:34 • 3min

3

The First Wearable Digital Computer

04:30 • 3min

4

The Roulette Project - What Did It Teach You?

07:57 • 6min

5

Is It Really Important to Understand Chaos in a Real World?

13:37 • 2min

6

Is the Great Financial Crisis a Business Cycle?

15:34 • 2min

7

Can an Economic Model Predict the Next Pendemic?

17:58 • 2min

8

Is It Possible to Make Much Better Predictions Using Mainstream Economic Models?

20:16 • 4min

9

Is There a Domino Effect?

24:33 • 4min

10

I'm Going to Be Following This Kind of Puzzle to Et Almost Everyoy

28:04 • 4min

11

Completion Economics - Is That a Good Idea?

32:30 • 2min

12

Is There Such a Complexity in Economics?

34:48 • 2min

13

Agent Base Modelling

37:12 • 3min

14

How to Predict the Sun Spot Cycle?

40:05 • 5min

15

How Predictable Is Technological Progress?

45:02 • 3min

16

Climate Change

47:36 • 2min

17

Theodore Wright's Law

49:43 • 4min

18

Is the Modularity a Part of the Story?

54:08 • 2min

19

How Can You Retropredict Technological Trends?

55:42 • 3min

20

Can You Predict the Price of Semi Conductors?

58:52 • 3min

21

Is There a Risk in Solar Power?

01:01:44 • 4min

22

Iso, Nuclear Powera Mor What?

01:05:47 • 4min

23

Are We Going to Get Better at Solving Problems?

01:09:36 • 6min

24

Is There a Secular Stagnation?

01:15:36 • 2min

25

Is There a Difference Between the Future and the Future?

01:18:06 • 2min

26

Artificial Intelligence and Time Lines

01:20:12 • 3min

27

Is There a Future in the Field of Economics?

01:23:05 • 3min