#50 – Doyne Farmer on Complexity and Predicting Technological Progress
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How Predictable Is Technological Progress?
Technology seems to play a central role in economic growth. While we can't predict the precise innovations that willa make cause improvements, trajectories of improvement can be very predictable. The most famous example is moore's law, which was formulated by gordon moore in 19 65 and has been remarkably accurate 70 years into he future from then.
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