Humble Forecasting, Hopeful Outlook

1

Introduction

00:00 • 2min

2

What City Had the Lowest Probability of Recession in 2023?

01:32 • 2min

3

Are You the Greatest Economist of All Time?

03:56 • 2min

4

GDI Is Gross Domestic Income

05:55 • 2min

5

Is There a Recession in 2022?

07:39 • 6min

6

Is Inflation Coming Down to Three Point Something by the End of 2024?

13:24 • 2min

7

Supply Side Generating Inflation

15:32 • 2min

8

Is That a Team Transitory?

17:11 • 2min

9

Would You Push Back on Anything You Just Said?

19:35 • 5min

10

What Should All Economists Be Saying Over the Next Two Years?

24:57 • 2min

11

What Are the Headwinds to Inflation?

26:56 • 2min

12

Is the Fed Going to Be Fighting to Get Inflation Down?

28:57 • 2min

13

Is the Fed Going to Tune Up for Three?

30:45 • 3min

14

What Does the Pandemic Mean for the Labor Market?

34:12 • 4min

15

Is There a Structural Shift?

38:32 • 2min

16

I'm Sorry, Marissa, I Want to Move the Conversation a Little Bit

40:45 • 2min

17

Is the Economy Doing Well, Is It Going to Recession?

42:40 • 2min

18

Is the Fed's Inflation Target a Good Thing?

44:50 • 3min

19

Are Consumers Really Good at Predicting Inflation?

47:29 • 5min

20

Payroll Employment Growth Is Running

52:27 • 2min

21

What's the Probability of a Recession?

53:59 • 2min

22

Are You More Optimistic?

55:45 • 2min

23

Are You Thinking About Raising the Odds?

57:42 • 2min

24

The Fed Could Make Two Mistakes

59:16 • 4min

25

The Moment of Truth Is Here

01:03:01 • 2min