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Humble Forecasting, Hopeful Outlook

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

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Are You More Optimistic?

I'm increasingly convinced that we might pull off getting inflation under control without causing a recession. My odds are high because I just feel like if there's any other shock, supply shock, energy price shock, something geopolitically that rattles things that we may not be able to withstand it. That is true. And I never think about the good news. It kind of feeds on itself. Okay. Here we go. Justin, we're going to the dark side. The data is because you're having more cocktails or you're drinking more glasses of wine. So tell me why you're growing more optimistic.

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